Obama: 264
McCain: 200
Tossup: 74
I thought it would be useful to turn my aggregate impressions into a single graphic. The colours aren't meant to be actual indications of the popular vote, they're chosen just for optics. Here's the key for them:
60%: Solid - even a landslide wouldn't change these
40%: Lean - very likely to go to said candidate. If they don't it means the victor has reached or is near the tipping point of a landslide
30%: Barely - they're theoretically in play and will stay with the party indicated in a close race.
Any thoughts?