PPP North Carolina: Tied

[Rowan]

NC
McCain 46%
Obama 46%
Barr 5%

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_92168.pdf

Bob Barr getting 5%? LOL

[Lief 🗽]

Eh. Obama's still never lead in the state, unfortunately. I think Indiana has a better chance of flipping, in the end.

[Mr.Phips]

Hagan also beats Dole 46%-41% in this poll. 

[Verily]

As I pointed out in the other thread, something of an oversample of white Democrats.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Im sorry, but I don't buy Obama winning 33% of the white vote, winning small towns and suburbs, and Barr getting 5%. PPP always slants towards the Democrats. I'll continue to say NC is 6-8% more Republican than average.

[Alcon]

winning small towns and suburbs

That makes me wonder how they even ascertain that.  Self-reporting?  Phone prefixes?  Both would seem like potential disasters to me, especially in a state like NC.

Exit polling is crappy enough at that, and they're at actual polling places.

[agcatter]

Barr is getting 5%?

Yeah, right.

[TheresNoMoney]

Anyone know what percentage the black vote was in the 2004 general election? This poll consists of 21% black voters.

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Anyone know what percentage the black vote was in the 2004 general election? This poll consists of 21% black voters.

I believe it was 19%.

[exopolitician]

Obama being up 5 in Montana was more shocking and exciting. *yawn*

[Aguagon]

Gotta love the consistent message of the polls out of NC: McCain leads by 0-20.

It'll be very interesting to see which of them gets it right. Personally, I'm betting on a 7-8% victory for McCain.

[Sam Spade]

I'm amused.

[KeyKeeper]

NC State of board has the party ID as: Democarts: 45% Republicans: 33% Other: 22%.

[auburntiger]

Gotta love the consistent message of the polls out of NC: McCain leads by 0-20.

It'll be very interesting to see which of them gets it right. Personally, I'm betting on a 7-8% victory for McCain.

Yep. 7-8. I don't buy this poll either.

[Tender Branson]

Obama's ceiling in NC (and also IN) should be about 47%.

[GMantis]

Anyone know what percentage the black vote was in the 2004 general election? This poll consists of 21% black voters.

I believe it was 19%.

It was 26%
http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/NC/P/00/epolls.0.html
The poll says that 33% of whites would vote for Obama, which is way too high. Another reason to suspect the poll.

[Brittain33]

Anyone know what percentage the black vote was in the 2004 general election? This poll consists of 21% black voters.

I believe it was 19%.

It was 26%

I think that exit poll is considered erroneous. Someone will be along to confirm that.

[Sam Spade]

Anyone know what percentage the black vote was in the 2004 general election? This poll consists of 21% black voters.

I believe it was 19%.

It was 26%

I think that exit poll is considered erroneous. Someone will be along to confirm that.

There were a number of erroneous figures in the 2004 exit poll.  That was one of them.  So was the Bush got 44% of Hispanics (it was more like 39%).

Still, the exit polls are the best we've got for demographic breakdown, so we have to suffer...

[Rowan]

Yes, the NC Exit Poll in 2004 was HORRENDOUS.

Black vote was only 18.5%, when the exit poll said 26%.

[GMantis]

Yes, the NC Exit Poll in 2004 was HORRENDOUS.

Black vote was only 18.5%, when the exit poll said 26%.

What other source exists for the voter's race?

[KeyKeeper]

Yes, the NC Exit Poll in 2004 was HORRENDOUS.

Black vote was only 18.5%, when the exit poll said 26%.

What other source exists for the voter's race?

NC Board of Elections.

[Verily]

Yes, the NC Exit Poll in 2004 was HORRENDOUS.

Black vote was only 18.5%, when the exit poll said 26%.

What other source exists for the voter's race?

NC Board of Elections.

Of course, they're just guessing, too. It was probably more like 21%.