She certainly isn't going to sabotage Obama just to run in 2012. If she becomes an integral part of the Obama effort and Obama wins, Hilllary becomes highly powerful and influential in the Senate (or gains a cabinet position). Win for her. If she becomes an integral part of the Obama effort and Obama loses, she will come out looking good in the eyes of the Democrat faithful, helping her chances in 2012. Either way, she has much to gain by helping Barack.
I disagree. Hillary really has two more solid chances at the Oval Office. She will lose
at least one of those chances if Obama is elected, maybe both. It is in her best interest not to be too friendly with Obama. Even in the Senate, she's still a "maybe president" for the next eight years; that is a powerful position.
Many elections have themes. 1976 was the "Clean Government" election. 1980: The Economy and Security Election. 1988: The No New Taxes (He's a Liberal) Election. 1992: The "It's the Economy, Stupid" Election. 2000: The "Clean Oval Office" Election.
2008 might well be "The Glass Ceiling" Election. Hillary would look like a major flip-flopper if she tries to hit Palin.
There is the real possibility that, in 2008, the Democratic Party will be paying the price for racial/gender politics. Hillary is not going to want to be involved in that.
There is no way that Palin is "Dan Quayle in a dress." In the first 36 hours, her performance has been flawless.
I said it before and I'll say it again:
Obama should have chosen Hillary Clinton as his running mate.
On this point, you are correct.