Guerrero election Jan 30th Baja California Sur Feb 6th

[ag]

52% reporting. Percentage lead of PAN is shrinking, absolute lead is stuck a bit above 10,000 votes.

PAN 41.86%
PRI 33.75%
PRD 19.84%

PAN is ahead in 7 districts, PRI in 6, PRD in 3. No changes in the municipal leads.

[ag]

Just over 60% reporting. Little change in percentages, PAN's absolute lead has grown to over 12,000 votes (still all from Comondu).

PAN 41.90%
PRI 33.67%
PRD 19.90%

PAN leads in 7 districts, PRI in 6, PRD in 3. PAN is ahead in Comondu and Los Cabos (barely above PRD), PRI is ahead in La Paz and in Loreto, PRD is ahead in Mulege.

[jaichind]

With all votes counted
PAN-PRS  40.35%
PRI-PVEM 33.52%
PRD-PT     21.41%

Covarrubios who was the PAN-PRS candidate has been a PRD member until the party did not nominate him to contest the state.  So as pointed out before he took some PRD support with him and combined with the PAN base took him to victory.  But even in the  legislative districts where the Covarrubiois defection factor will not be there, PAN-PRS beat out PRI-PVEM 31.87% to 28.24% with PRD-PT getting 23.77%.

The PRI  has been resurgent among the electorate in recent years, it has suffered a series of electoral setbacks last couple of weeks, first in Guerrero and now in BCS.  This shows that PRI support may be soft.

[ag]

These results are almost final: 37 out of 825 precincts have problems in reporting and have not been tallied (this is normal in Mexican elections, the official count is not till Wednesday, probably).

In legislative elections, PAN is ahead in 9 districts, PRI in 4  and PRD in 3. In municipals, though, PAN only won in Comondu, PRI in La Paz and Loreto, PRD kept Los Cabos and Mulege. In PR legislative atly, all five participating slates made it across the 2% barrier:

PAN-PRS 31.87%
PRI-PVEM 28.24%
PRD-PT 23.77%
Panal 9.10%
Convergencia 3.82%

write-ins 0.11%
spoiled/invalid 3.09%

[Hash]

Isn't 33.5% a good showing for the PRI in a state where it's been quite weak for quite some time? I was expecting them to come third.

[ag]

Isn't 33.5% a good showing for the PRI in a state where it's been quite weak for quite some time? I was expecting them to come third.

They got 36.1% in 2005, so this is, actually, worse than last time. It was a PRD-PRI state, not PRD-PAN, like DF.