That's the problem with Obama. He has a VERY small margin of error. He just about has to have Colorado assuming he loses Florida and and Ohio. Win Colorado AND Nevada and he gets 269 - 269 tie. That's assuming he takes Pennsylvania and then flips NM and Iowa (I actually think he will)
Actually, Kerry states + IA + NM + CO + NV = 278 electoral votes, not 269.
Also, as I've said before, all of this discussion about Obama's electability vs. Clinton's electability ignores the question of how Clinton would actually win the nomination. She can't win the most pledged delegates, and she can't win the popular vote, unless you at least count the votes in Florida. So any scenario in which the superdelegates hand her the nomination leads to the party tearing itself apart, which will then make her unelectable.
I think just about any scenario with Clinton as the nominee would have her losing badly in the general.....unless the scenario involves Obama dying and annointing Clinton as his chosen successor on his death bed.
LOL..... Yeah, and with her favorables in the mid 40s, I would expect her to get 44 percent of the vote, Nader 1, Barr 1, Others .5 and McCain 53.5.
This is probably the typical scenario for Hill Dawg.
..I mean, the worst scenaro could isolate her 48% of the Democratic Party with just 50% of the other 52% as support and like 40% of indies-
With those numbers
D 38- 76
R 34- 10
I 28- 40
- 43% of the vote... with McCain at 55- This is what you would get with that-
Basically, New York, Los Angeles, Boston and Ben and Jerry's will vote for her ass.