What if Edwards stayed in the race until after Texas and Ohio?
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  What if Edwards stayed in the race until after Texas and Ohio?
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Author Topic: What if Edwards stayed in the race until after Texas and Ohio?  (Read 682 times)
War on Want
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Junior Chimp
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« on: March 18, 2008, 09:45:31 PM »

What would have happened if he stayed in the race until Texas and Ohio?
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exopolitician
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: March 18, 2008, 09:48:58 PM »

Obama would be suffering more, so would Clinton but not as bad as he would. I wish he would have stayed in longer tho :/
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War on Want
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: March 18, 2008, 10:07:52 PM »

Results in all Super Tuesday States:
Georgia:
Barack Obama 60%
Hillary Clinton 25%
John Edwards 15%

Alabama:
Barack Obama 54%
Hillary Clinton 34%
John Edwards 12%

Tennessee:
Hillary Clinton 44%
Barack Obama 38%
John Edwards 18%

Arkansas:
Hillary Clinton 65%
Barack Obama 25%
John Edwards 10%

Missouri:
Barack Obama 46%
Hillary Clinton 38%
John Edwards 16%

Massachusetts:
Hillary Clinton 53%
Barack Obama 36%
John Edwards 11%

Connecticut:
Barack Obama 45%
Hillary Clinton 44.5%
John Edwards 10%

New York:
Hillary Clinton 54%
Barack Obama 36%
John Edwards 10%

New Jersey:
Hillary Clinton 51%
Barack Obama 40%
John Edwards 9%

Illinois:
Barack Obama 63%
Hillary Clinton 25%
John Edwards 12%

Minnesota:
Barack Obama 55%
Hillary Clinton 30%
John Edwards 11%

North Dakota:
Barack Obama 60%
Hillary Clinton 33%
John Edwards 7%

Oklahoma:
Hillary Clinton 40%
John Edwards 33%
Barack Obama 27%

Colorado:
Barack Obama 62%
Hillary Clinton 30%
John Edwards 8%

New Mexico:
Barack Obama 44%
Hillary Clinton 40%
John Edwards 16%

Arizona:
Hillary Clinton 46%
Barack Obama 40%
John Edwards 14%

Utah:
Barack Obama 53%
Hillary Clinton 39%
John Edwards 7%

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exopolitician
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: March 18, 2008, 10:09:00 PM »

Whats up with Oklahoma? That state has always kinda been a good state for him. Its the twang isnt it?
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MODU
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« Reply #4 on: March 19, 2008, 06:46:11 AM »


He wouldn't have much of an impact.  He was already being marginalized at the point he dropped out, so going into Ohio, his impact would have been less than 10%.
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Meeker
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« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2008, 07:30:58 AM »

He would've targeted certain states and have done better there - places like Oklahoma, North Dakota, possibly Tennessee. Without knowing off hand where he would've targeted though we can't really say. I still maintain that had he stayed in he would've been able to win at least Oklahoma.
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Ben.
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« Reply #6 on: March 19, 2008, 03:44:31 PM »

Could well have won Oklahoma, beyond that he hurts both Clinton and Obama in different ways, hitting Obama amougst left of centre union members and hitting clinton amougst blue collar dems as a whole... so probably hurts Clinton more overall, but in some states that might be reversed (ie. he probably hurts Clinton in TN while harming Obama in places like CT and NJ).
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BRTD
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« Reply #7 on: March 19, 2008, 06:37:23 PM »

On a side note what's up with Millard County, UT? Do they have early voting? But if so why not similar results in the rest of the state?
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War on Want
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« Reply #8 on: March 19, 2008, 08:24:24 PM »

On a side note what's up with Millard County, UT? Do they have early voting? But if so why not similar results in the rest of the state?
Millard County probably has some Conservative Mormon Democrats, and maybe some Blue Collar workers.
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Alcon
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« Reply #9 on: March 19, 2008, 08:26:51 PM »

On a side note what's up with Millard County, UT? Do they have early voting? But if so why not similar results in the rest of the state?

Lots of agriculture around there I think, and some very working-class occupations.  Moreso than even most rural Utah.

It's still a bit of an anomaly though.
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War on Want
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: March 19, 2008, 08:28:57 PM »

On a side note what's up with Millard County, UT? Do they have early voting? But if so why not similar results in the rest of the state?

Lots of agriculture around there I think, and some very working-class occupations.  Moreso than even most rural Utah.

It's still a bit of an anomaly though.
I bet you the county has a tradition of registering Democratic somewhat(Which for Utah is 25% or so), and I bet you a good chunk of older Mormons are Democrats in some places. They might have just decided to stick together and vote Edwards.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #11 on: March 19, 2008, 09:15:48 PM »

Clinton was still favored in Oklahoma above Edwards even in January while he was still in the race.  I think she would have won Oklahoma, but Edwards would have come in a close second.  As it is, Obama only took Oklahoma County, while Clinton took the other 76 counties including Tulsa County.

If he had stayed in, though, I could see McCain really licking his chops right now.  Edwards would have damaged both candidates so much, without this Edwardsless saga, that McCain probably could have all but been planning his Cabinet right about now.
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