mississippi=alabama?

[WalterMitty]

obama won alabama by 14 points, yet only received 2 more delegates than clinton (27-25).

will alabama be the same way, due to racial voting?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

No, because all of Mississippi's congressional districts have an odd number of delegates and Obama probably carries every one unlike Alabama. Mississippi doesn't have anything comparable to Alabama's industrial north (which actually contains some white Democrats.)

[WalterMitty]

obama will win ms-04?  ms-01?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

MS-01: 27.2% black, 36.9% for Kerry
MS-04: 23.6% black, 31.1% for Kerry

[Smash255]

obama will win ms-04?  ms-01?

AS BRTD pointed out MS-1 is about 27% black, about the same black population as the state of Alabama, so your looking at the Primary vote to be somewhere in the low 50's % wise black.  MS-4 is 22% black so your liekly somewhere in the 45-47% black range in the Primary, so Obama does win them both.

[Verily]

All of the congressional districts will have a majority black Democratic electorate. As a whole 60-65% of the electorate will be black, maybe slightly more.

[WalterMitty]

will john edwards be on the ballot in ms?

[Eraserhead]

will john edwards be on the ballot in ms?

What difference would that make at this point?

[WalterMitty]

will john edwards be on the ballot in ms?

What difference would that make at this point?

every vote counts, eraserhead.  as a democrat you should remember that mantra. 

not having edwards on the ballot will help clinton.  not much.  but still help.

all of those peckerwoods voting for edwards will be more likely to vote clinton over obama.

[Eraserhead]

will john edwards be on the ballot in ms?

What difference would that make at this point?

every vote counts, eraserhead.  as a democrat you should remember that mantra. 

not having edwards on the ballot will help clinton.  not much.  but still help.

all of those peckerwoods voting for edwards will be more likely to vote clinton over obama.

She would probably get all of .5% from that. It won't be that big deal in a state she is going to lose by around 20%.

[WalterMitty]

will john edwards be on the ballot in ms?

What difference would that make at this point?

every vote counts, eraserhead.  as a democrat you should remember that mantra. 

not having edwards on the ballot will help clinton.  not much.  but still help.

all of those peckerwoods voting for edwards will be more likely to vote clinton over obama.

She would probably get all of .5% from that. It won't be that big deal in a state she is going to lose by around 20%.

she can get more than .5%

[Gustaf]

will john edwards be on the ballot in ms?

What difference would that make at this point?

every vote counts, eraserhead.  as a democrat you should remember that mantra. 

not having edwards on the ballot will help clinton.  not much.  but still help.

all of those peckerwoods voting for edwards will be more likely to vote clinton over obama.

She would probably get all of .5% from that. It won't be that big deal in a state she is going to lose by around 20%.

Edwards got a couple of % in most Southern states and above 1% in all of them. And, of course, 10% in Oklahoma.

[Stranger in a strange land]

yeah a lot of conservative dems vote for Edwards I guess as a protest vote, or because they think southern accent = conservative

[TomC]

I would think Mississippi is more like SC than Ala or Ga. Ala and Ga have large urban areas. Miss and SC don't as much.