Maine Republican Predictions

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Yikes - I thought this was February 2nd, but it's today!

McCain with 40%?

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

On second thought, Romney raised 27% more, and it's a closed primary.  Thus, Romney at 40%.

[Verily]

Which might have mattered had Romney won Florida.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Which might have mattered had Romney won Florida.

He outraised McCain in the major cities.  And this isn't me just hoping Romney will win.  I don't think he will - I've given up hope, but this is what makes logical sense to me.

[Verily]

Which might have mattered had Romney won Florida.

He outraised McCain in the major cities.  And this isn't me just hoping Romney will win.  I don't think he will - I've given up hope, but this is what makes logical sense to me.

That's not what I meant; Romney would have gotten an additional boost into Feb 5 from Maine had he won Florida. Now, it's just irrelevant and ignored. I, too, think Romney has a good shot at winning Maine.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Which might have mattered had Romney won Florida.

He outraised McCain in the major cities.  And this isn't me just hoping Romney will win.  I don't think he will - I've given up hope, but this is what makes logical sense to me.

That's not what I meant; Romney would have gotten an additional boost into Feb 5 from Maine had he won Florida. Now, it's just irrelevant and ignored. I, too, think Romney has a good shot at winning Maine.

OK, what about Ron Paul.  It's a closed cuacus, but Indys can come in the day of and register.  It's spread out over 3 days.

[Verily]

Which might have mattered had Romney won Florida.

He outraised McCain in the major cities.  And this isn't me just hoping Romney will win.  I don't think he will - I've given up hope, but this is what makes logical sense to me.

That's not what I meant; Romney would have gotten an additional boost into Feb 5 from Maine had he won Florida. Now, it's just irrelevant and ignored. I, too, think Romney has a good shot at winning Maine.

OK, what about Ron Paul.  It's a closed cuacus, but Indys can come in the day of and register.  It's spread out over 3 days.

Ron Paul's not going to get anywhere. No better than Nevada, probably worse. I would guess 5%.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Which might have mattered had Romney won Florida.

He outraised McCain in the major cities.  And this isn't me just hoping Romney will win.  I don't think he will - I've given up hope, but this is what makes logical sense to me.

That's not what I meant; Romney would have gotten an additional boost into Feb 5 from Maine had he won Florida. Now, it's just irrelevant and ignored. I, too, think Romney has a good shot at winning Maine.

OK, what about Ron Paul.  It's a closed cuacus, but Indys can come in the day of and register.  It's spread out over 3 days.

Ron Paul's not going to get anywhere. No better than Nevada, probably worse. I would guess 5%.

AP put out a story saying he could win and that he's the most active in the state.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

New England is McCain Country.  Ironic, no?

McCain takes this one easily, I predict.

[Dan the Roman]

As someone resident in the state part-time, it depends on the demoralization of the Romney organization post-Florida. Three days ago they would have won it easily, as McCain has zero presence in the state, and his nominal state director is deeply distrusted, by well, almost everyone.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

I've decided to stick with my original call: MR30T

[SomeLawStudent]

Can someone explain this caucus?  I read somewhere that it takes place on multiple days but not sure how accurate that site is.  Also do the delegates count because I can find almost no media focus on this so I had assumed it was being penalized or something.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Can someone explain this caucus?  I read somewhere that it takes place on multiple days but not sure how accurate that site is.  Also do the delegates count because I can find almost no media focus on this so I had assumed it was being penalized or something.

It's Friday through Sunday, but I don't know how many delegates.

[Speed of Sound]

Can someone explain this caucus?  I read somewhere that it takes place on multiple days but not sure how accurate that site is.  Also do the delegates count because I can find almost no media focus on this so I had assumed it was being penalized or something.

It's Friday through Sunday, but I don't know how many delegates.

Maine will send 21 delegates to the RNC.

[Hash]

New England is McCain Country.  Ironic, no?

McCain takes this one easily, I predict.

Maine is the only New England state McCain didn't win in 2000 IIRC.

Romney wins, the last poll out around 6000 years ago showed Romney leading IIRC.

[Erc]

Freeport went on Wednesday, some caucuses are meeting today, the majority are meeting tomorrow, and 3 are meeting on Sunday.

So results will probably be available post-Superbowl.

[TheGlobalizer]

Romney 35
Paul 30
McCain 25
Huckabee 8

[Mr. Morden]

Apparently, Ron Paulites have swarmed all over Maine, and in this story, University of Maine political science professor Mark Brewer actually says:

http://pressherald.mainetoday.com/story.php?id=166336&ac=PHnws

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At libertarian magazine Reason, David Weigel writes:

http://reason.com/blog/show/124746.html

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