I'm worried about Florida.
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  I'm worried about Florida.
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Author Topic: I'm worried about Florida.  (Read 1293 times)
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #25 on: January 28, 2008, 09:00:34 PM »

She'd absolutely destroy him in Arkansas (of course she'd win that over anyone but Huckabee)

Oh, yeah, of course.   Roll Eyes

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jokerman
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« Reply #26 on: January 28, 2008, 09:08:34 PM »

She'd absolutely destroy him in Arkansas (of course she'd win that over anyone but Huckabee)

Oh, yeah, of course.   Roll Eyes


Have you not seen the polls?  I don't mean to pull a bushoklahoma here or anything, but I'm pretty sure that Clinton will be able to decisively carry Arkansas.
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MarkWarner08
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« Reply #27 on: January 28, 2008, 09:12:33 PM »

I have a bad feeling Mitt is going to lose in Florida...

Based on early voting, Romney needs to win on election day by at least 2-3 points. Unfortunately, the RCP average shows him trailing McCain.

You know the early voting totals?!?!
That's what BBC reported. They talked to Romney aides who said that based on their analysis of early voting, Romney probably needs to win by at least 2-3 points on Election Day.

BBC also said Giuliani will make an "announcement about the future of his campaign" on Wednesday...
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #28 on: January 28, 2008, 09:15:21 PM »

I have a bad feeling Mitt is going to lose in Florida...

Based on early voting, Romney needs to win on election day by at least 2-3 points. Unfortunately, the RCP average shows him trailing McCain.

You know the early voting totals?!?!
That's what BBC reported. They talked to Romney aides who said that based on their analysis of early voting, Romney probably needs to win by at least 2-3 points on Election Day.

BBC also said Giuliani will make an "announcement about the future of his campaign" on Wednesday...

I find that interesting, if true, and not just BS (which is quite possible).  Of course, I don't know how anyone analyzes early voting, frankly.

I heard about the Giuliani thing
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Lincoln Republican
Winfield
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« Reply #29 on: January 28, 2008, 09:17:50 PM »

I have a bad feeling that Mitt is going to win in a very close race.  Sad

I really don't know who will win Florida, Romney or McCain.

I can only hope you are right, though.

One who will not win Florida is Giuliani.

In what will become known in Presidential politics as The Giuliani Strategy, future candidates for the Presidency will know what kind of a campaign not to run, with thanks to the former Mayor of New York City.
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bullmoose88
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« Reply #30 on: January 28, 2008, 09:20:51 PM »

I have a bad feeling that Mitt is going to win in a very close race.  Sad

I really don't know who will win Florida, Romney or McCain.

I can only hope you are right, though.

One who will not win Florida is Giuliani.

In what will become known in Presidential politics as The Giuliani Strategy, future candidates for the Presidency will know what kind of a campaign not to run, with thanks to the former Mayor of New York City.


Giuliani's strategy would have worked had he just done enough to stay ahead of the expectations curve...what really doomed him wasn't the fact he was no better than 4th...it was just that his percentages were surprisingly low.  If he had done just well enough (not even a place shift, just better %ages), he'd probably still be a dominant force.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #31 on: January 29, 2008, 10:27:21 AM »

I have a bad feeling that Mitt is going to win in a very close race.  Sad

A close loss wouldn't be bad for McCain...

this would probably be the worst scenario where he finishes 2nd

Romney wins by like 4-5 points, McCain Second, Giuliani a close third...

If Mitt gets some distance on McCain in florida, McCain must hope that Giuliani has no reason to continue.

What McCain should fear is another Michigan. The polls, after all, look the same.

I'm not following. How does it resemble Michigan and why would it be similar?
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #32 on: January 29, 2008, 11:23:59 AM »

I suddenly have a fear that this will end up like Michigan with mccain losing by a surprisingly wide margin.
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