Seven-way 2008 Election
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 16, 2024, 09:36:47 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2008 Elections
  Seven-way 2008 Election
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Seven-way 2008 Election  (Read 687 times)
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,217
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 23, 2007, 01:35:41 PM »

Clinton/Richardson (Democratic)
Giuliani/Barbour (Republican)
Paul/??? (Libertarian)
Tancredo/Roy Moore (Constitution)
Bloomberg/Hagel (Unity)
Dobbs/??? (Independent)
McKinney/??? (Green)

Consider though, that of the 4 3rd parties, only Paul would probably be on the ballot in all 50 states. This would especially be a problem for Bloomberg as Unity '08 seems to have no concept of Ballot Access Laws, though the fact that he's a billionaire should be sufficent to overcome that. Of course, all that depends on how much Bloomberg actually wants to be president.

Also, props to anyone who can suggest running mates for Paul, Dobbs, or McKinney.
Logged
The Mikado
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,907


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2007, 03:00:10 PM »

Clinton/Richardson (Democratic)
Giuliani/Barbour (Republican)
Paul/??? (Libertarian)
Tancredo/Roy Moore (Constitution)
Bloomberg/Hagel (Unity)
Dobbs/??? (Independent)
McKinney/??? (Green)

Consider though, that of the 4 3rd parties, only Paul would probably be on the ballot in all 50 states. This would especially be a problem for Bloomberg as Unity '08 seems to have no concept of Ballot Access Laws, though the fact that he's a billionaire should be sufficent to overcome that. Of course, all that depends on how much Bloomberg actually wants to be president.

Also, props to anyone who can suggest running mates for Paul, Dobbs, or McKinney.

First off, Tancredo and Lou Dobbs overlap enough that if one ran, I don't think the other would.  Second, the McKinney will do abysmally.  You're right about the ballot access thing.  Clinton would win, and no third party candidate would break 10% (Bloomberg might get into the high single digits) or carry a state.
Logged
Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,217
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 23, 2007, 06:11:36 PM »

Clinton/Richardson (Democratic)
Giuliani/Barbour (Republican)
Paul/??? (Libertarian)
Tancredo/Roy Moore (Constitution)
Bloomberg/Hagel (Unity)
Dobbs/??? (Independent)
McKinney/??? (Green)

Consider though, that of the 4 3rd parties, only Paul would probably be on the ballot in all 50 states. This would especially be a problem for Bloomberg as Unity '08 seems to have no concept of Ballot Access Laws, though the fact that he's a billionaire should be sufficent to overcome that. Of course, all that depends on how much Bloomberg actually wants to be president.

Also, props to anyone who can suggest running mates for Paul, Dobbs, or McKinney.

First off, Tancredo and Lou Dobbs overlap enough that if one ran, I don't think the other would.  Second, the McKinney will do abysmally.  You're right about the ballot access thing.  Clinton would win, and no third party candidate would break 10% (Bloomberg might get into the high single digits) or carry a state.

Is Dobbs socially conservative on issues such as abortion, gay marriage, and gun rights? If yes, then I think you're right about him and Tancredo overlapping. Tancredo is a fundy and I think that turns off a lot of ppl who would otherwise vote for him for his stand on illegal immigration.

I totally agree with you about McKinney doing abysmally. I think her over/under would be 1%.

I think of the 3rd party candidates, the only ones with a shot at breaking 10% would be Bloomberg and Dobbs. Paul would probably get only 3-5%, but would siphon off a fair number of anti-war liberals who would have otherwise voted for Hillary. Then again, he would also have some appeal to Republicans who are disaffected with Bush's foreign policy and the maniac spending of republican congresses.
Logged
Verily
Cuivienen
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 16,663


Political Matrix
E: 1.81, S: -6.78

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 23, 2007, 06:43:28 PM »

McKinney would probably run with Patricia LaMarche, the 2004 Green VP candidate and 2006 candidate for Governor of Maine. (She took the traditional 10% for the Maine Greens.)
Logged
Reluctant Republican
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,040


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 23, 2007, 06:57:02 PM »

McKinney would probably run with Patricia LaMarche, the 2004 Green VP candidate and 2006 candidate for Governor of Maine. (She took the traditional 10% for the Maine Greens.)

Alternatively, maybe she’d pick the 2006 Illinois candidate for governor, Rich Whitney [sp?]  He got about 10 percent too. I do think that McKinney would do better then Nader would. She could reach out to the African American community, and maybe make some inroads there for the Green party. 

Anyway, I think Clinton would win by at least 5 percent in the popular vote, given that their are more right wing candidates here then there are left wing. I think Tancredo would take entirely away from Giuliani, Dobbs would take most of his support from Giuliani, Bloomberg would take more away from Giuliani, Paul would take slightly more away from Hillary, and McKinney would take from Hillary.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.218 seconds with 13 queries.