New Gallup Results (Extended through Sunday).......
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  New Gallup Results (Extended through Sunday).......
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Author Topic: New Gallup Results (Extended through Sunday).......  (Read 945 times)
lonestar
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« on: August 02, 2004, 03:20:04 PM »

Among Likely Voters:

Bush: 51%
Kerry: 47%

July 30- August 1

Even more improvement for Bush

http://www.gallup.com/election2004/
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agcatter
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« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2004, 03:33:26 PM »

...I guess they'll have to keep on polling.
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khirkhib
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« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2004, 05:23:33 PM »

These are some interesting numbers from the Gallup Poll

FAVORABLE RATING
KERRY 58
BUSH 52

HANDLE IRAQ BETTER?
KERRY 49(44)
BUSH 47(49)

HANDLE THE ECONOMY BETTER?
KERRY 54
BUSH 43

LEAD THE WAR ON TERROR?
BUSH 54(56)
KERRY 42(38)

MORE HONEST & TRUSTWORTHY
KERRY 48(42)
BUSH 43(42)

STRONG & DECISIVE
BUSH 51
KERRY 42

WHO IS THE UNITER?
KERRY 52
BUSH 39

WHO IS THE OPTIMIST?
KERRY 42
BUSH 41

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JNB
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« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2004, 05:28:57 PM »


 As respectable as Gallup is, the numbers just do not add up.  Only 2% undecided voters? Sorry, not at this stage. Gallup looks to have done an agressive job to push leaners. The fact that support for Bush is 5% greater in this poll than it is in all the other polls points to again this being a outlier.
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The Vorlon
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« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2004, 05:35:29 PM »


 As respectable as Gallup is, the numbers just do not add up.  Only 2% undecided voters? Sorry, not at this stage. Gallup looks to have done an agressive job to push leaners. The fact that support for Bush is 5% greater in this poll than it is in all the other polls points to again this being a outlier.
So far, mainly the polls that are somewhat Kerry friendly (Newsweek, CBS, ARG, Zogby) have come out.

Lets wait for:

Ipsos
TIPP
Battleground
Democracy Corps (Quinlan Greenburg Rosen)
NBC(Hart/Teeter)

before we make any conclusions, so far the bounce, if there even is one, looks pretty weak.

POS starts another round of state polls tonight till thursday night, so if there is any real bounce we should see it in these state polls.

Kerry "Bounce-O-Meter"

Rasmussen +1
CBS +1
Zogby +3
ARG -1
Newsweek +1 (head to head or +4 in 3 way)
Gallup -5 (or -1 in Register voters 2 way race)
ABC +8 (purely a guess at this point)

If we toss out the high and the low (Gallup and ABC) lets call it 1 or 2% or so...

Other than Gallup, the "good" (IMHO) polls have not reported yet.


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Bogart
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« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2004, 05:48:36 PM »


 As respectable as Gallup is, the numbers just do not add up.  Only 2% undecided voters? Sorry, not at this stage. Gallup looks to have done an agressive job to push leaners. The fact that support for Bush is 5% greater in this poll than it is in all the other polls points to again this being a outlier.
So far, mainly the polls that are somewhat Kerry friendly (Newsweek, CBS, ARG, Zogby) have come out.

Lets wait for:

Ipsos
TIPP
Battleground
Democracy Corps (Quinlan Greenburg Rosen)
NBC(Hart/Teeter)

before we make any conclusions, so far the bounce, if there even is one, looks pretty weak.

POS starts another round of state polls tonight till thursday night, so if there is any real bounce we should see it in these state polls.

Kerry "Bounce-O-Meter"

Rasmussen +1
CBS +1
Zogby +3
ARG -1
Newsweek +1 (head to head or +4 in 3 way)
Gallup -5 (or -1 in Register voters 2 way race)
ABC +8 (purely a guess at this point)

If we toss out the high and the low (Gallup and ABC) lets call it 1 or 2% or so...

Other than Gallup, the "good" (IMHO) polls have not reported yet.



I agree with Kerry friendly, but Bush has done next to no campaigning with the exception of his 2 day swing through Ohio and Pennsylvania.  This must be the most "bounceless" election so far.
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