Which candidates have at least a 1% chance of being elected in Nov. '08?
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Poll
Question: Which candidates have at least a 1% chance of being elected president in Nov. '08?
#1
Hillary Clinton		  
#2
Barack Obama		  
#3
John Edwards		  
#4
Bill Richardson		  
#5
Rudy Giuliani		  
#6
Mitt Romney		  
#7
Fred Thompson		  
#8
John McCain		  
#9
Mike Huckabee		  
#10
Michael Bloomberg		  
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Total Voters: 32

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Author Topic: Which candidates have at least a 1% chance of being elected in Nov. '08?  (Read 1691 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: October 24, 2007, 05:00:01 PM »
The subject line is fairly self explanatory.  Check the box for anyone who you think has at least a 1% chance of winning the 2008 general presidential election.  So this is sort of a combined probability for primaries and GE (save Bloomberg, who doesn't have to go through a primary).....if you think they'd make great GE candidates, but have zero chance of getting the nomination, then they don't qualify, since they'd have to get the nomination first.
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BRTD
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2007, 05:11:13 PM »
Hillary Clinton
Barack Obama
John Edwards
Rudy Giuliani
Mitt Romney
Fred Thompson
John McCain

Pondered on McCain for awhile.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2007, 05:14:28 PM »
Clinton, Obama, Edwards, Giuliani, Romney, Huckabee
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #3 on: October 24, 2007, 06:25:32 PM »
voted all except Bloomberg and Richardson.  Edwards and Huckabee are really trivial too, though.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: October 24, 2007, 07:22:55 PM »
I voted for all of them except Bloomberg.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #5 on: October 24, 2007, 11:00:19 PM »
Based on the numbers from the 19 people voting so far, forumers (on average) think that 7 of those people have at least a 1% chance of being elected.  Therefore, it seems that all the "such-and-such (usually Clinton) has it in the bag" posts that I read here every day is a bit of hyperbole.  There are still a number of candidates who have at least a remote chance of winning.
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BushOklahoma
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« Reply #6 on: October 24, 2007, 11:17:29 PM »
All except Mike Bloomberg
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2007, 12:54:13 AM »
The first 5.
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Robespierre's Jaw
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2007, 01:20:30 AM »
The following people have atleast a 1% of being elected President of the United States on November 4, 2008.

Hillary Clinton
Barack Obama
Bill Richardson
Rudy Giuliani
Mitt Romney
Mike Huckabee
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strangeland
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2007, 01:30:48 AM »
all except McCain and Bloomberg
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Gustaf
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2007, 06:14:15 AM »
I voted for all except Bloomberg. I don't think anyone can be ruled out in the primaries yet (out of those listed). Once you're past the primaries, really anything can happen. I'm not sure whether Thompson or Romney can actually win a general, but a threshold at 1%? Sure, it COULD happen.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2007, 07:10:16 AM »
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