Two new polls...
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Author Topic: Two new polls...  (Read 927 times)
millwx
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« on: July 24, 2004, 05:57:49 PM »
They just keep flooding in...

First, and most interesting...

From Research2000 (802LV)

Missouri: Bush 45%, Kerry 47%, Nader 2%, Unsure 6%

From Quinnipiac (1551RV)

National: Bush 43%, Kerry 44%, Nader 4%, Unsure 9%
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2004, 06:05:48 PM »
Could you please post the link on the 'missouri poll' you cited?
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millwx
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« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2004, 06:13:10 PM »
Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on July 24, 2004, 06:05:48 PM
Could you please post the link on the 'missouri poll' you cited?
No.  It's on PollingReport's subscription page.  It's not on Research2000's page (yet).  I suspect it will be "soon".  It was done for KMOV, but it's not on their site yet either.
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ATFFL
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« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2004, 06:19:16 PM »
Quote from: CARLHAYDEN on July 24, 2004, 06:05:48 PM
Could you please post the link on the 'missouri poll' you cited?

Here is an article on it.

http://www.stltoday.com/stltoday/news/stories.nsf/News/Missouri+State+News/AE7B88098958489686256EDB000A2578?OpenDocument&Headline=Mo.+remains+key+battleground+

Research 2000 is a good but not great group started by an ex Mason Dixon employee.  THey are very discreet about releasing internals, which irks me.  They were also very vulnerable to underpolling Republicans in teh summer last cycle (having called North Carolina as Bush + 1 until late October.)  Their final polls were all pretty good.

The Quinnipiac is very interesting.  

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x12773.xml
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millwx
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« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2004, 06:30:28 PM »
Thanks for getting that posted, Tredrick!  I couldn't find it.
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CARLHAYDEN
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« Reply #5 on: July 24, 2004, 06:31:27 PM »
I was really wanting to look at the internals.

I note that inasmuch a Republicans (according to Gallup) are paying 'less attention' at this time to the election (probably more concerned about vacation).

Since many polls use the 'attention' paid as a major criterion for 'likely voters,' this distorts many polls.

Other polls just have a crazy distribution (CBS, LA Times, etc.)

When it is available, would be interesting to see the internals.
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