How will Michigan vote relatively to Pennsylvania?

[Tekken_Guy]

How will Michigan vote relative to Pennsylvania at this point?

[mjba257]

Probably 1-2% to PA's right. I highly doubt that Trump will will Michigan by more than 5%, although long term, I absolutely can see the state going in the direction of Ohio. But for 2024, it will be close. Compared to PA, MI has a much higher % of WWC voters, not as many college educated suburbanites as PA, and more people prone to protest voting (the Arab vote + white leftists in Ann Arbor).

[Progressive Pessimist]

Slightly to the left.

[King Man]

I believe that Michigan will be around a point more R than Pennsylvania will be, at around
PA +2.5 D, MI +1.5 D, and WI +.5 D

[SuzerainOfSwat]

Probably 1-2% to PA's right. I highly doubt that Trump will will Michigan by more than 5%, although long term, I absolutely can see the state going in the direction of Ohio. But for 2024, it will be close. Compared to PA, MI has a much higher % of WWC voters, not as many college educated suburbanites as PA, and more people prone to protest voting (the Arab vote + white leftists in Ann Arbor).

Eh I disagree with this assessment though I think the Arab-American vote in eastern Michigan is an underrated factor. I think there is still room for growth in the eastern suburbs and obviously Kent and Kalamazoo