Feb 3rd predictions.
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Author Topic: Feb 3rd predictions.  (Read 1898 times)
Gustaf
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« on: February 03, 2004, 12:07:37 PM »

There seem to be no "official prediction thread" for today's primaries, so I decided to start one. Here are my predictions:

Kerry wins everything, except OK (Clark) and SC (Edwards).
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elcorazon
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2004, 12:20:13 PM »

Edwards wins SC with over 40%, Kerry gets about 28%, finishing a solid 2nd.
Oklahoma is a 3-way battle to the end between Kerry, Clark & Edwards, with all 3 getting over 25%, but under 30%.  Kerry gets to call it a win with 27%, however.
Kerry wins MO, AZ, ND, DEL & NM, but Edwards & Dean do just well enough to hang in there.  Lieberman leaves the race with another poor performance.  Clark may hang in there a bit longer based on his 3-way tie in OK.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2004, 04:28:37 PM »

There seem to be no "official prediction thread" for today's primaries, so I decided to start one. Here are my predictions:

Kerry wins everything, except OK (Clark) and SC (Edwards).

If you are right, Dean (DC only though), Kerry, Clark, and Edwards will have all one at least one primary, although Kerry will still be the clear frontrunner. Does this mean we will still have a four person race? (Lieberman wont win any primaries and should drop out before the Connecticut primary).

No, Dean is really dead. Edwards and Clark will probably hang on, but in reality they're dead too. Might win some southern primaries, but Kerry will win all the important ones.
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NHPolitico
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2004, 04:58:02 PM »

AZ: Kerry 38, Clark 20, Dean 17

MO: Kerry 47, Edwards 20, Dean 12

SC: Edwards 49, Kerry 28, Sharpton 15

OK: Edwards 35, Clark 30, Kerry 28

DE: Kerry 43, Dean 17, Lieberman 13

NM: Kerry 30, Dean 20, Clark 15

ND: Kerry 45, Edwards 25, Dean 14
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zachman
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« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2004, 09:28:55 PM »

Your predictions were amazing elcorazon!
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MAS117
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« Reply #5 on: February 04, 2004, 12:24:49 AM »

just as i predicted in another thread
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Beet
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« Reply #6 on: February 04, 2004, 12:35:02 AM »

elcorazon's predictions were pretty good. overall, there weren't any huge surprises, except maybe Kerry doing even a little better than expected. He did especially well among people who think beating Bush is important, which probably is a result more from media coverage as the facts?
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