KATC3: Lieutenant Governor Landrieu: I'm not running for Governor
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  KATC3: Lieutenant Governor Landrieu: I'm not running for Governor
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Adlai Stevenson
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« on: April 17, 2007, 10:02:32 AM »

http://www.katc.com/global/story.asp?s=6376754

 BATON ROUGE, La. -- Lt. Gov. Mitch Landrieu said Monday he will not run for governor, the latest Democrat to decide not to campaign against the front-runner, Republican U.S. Rep. Bobby Jindal.

Landrieu said he considered a gubernatorial run but will instead seek re-election.

"I believe I can best serve the people of Louisiana by finishing the job I started four years ago," Landrieu said in a written statement.

Landrieu's announcement came three days after U.S. Sen. John Breaux, a Democrat, said he will not run for governor. Earlier, Gov. Kathleen Blanco, also a Democrat, said she would not seek re-election.

Jindal enjoys a wide lead in early polls, and Landrieu's decision has left Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell as the only experienced Democrat in the race. Qualifying opens Sept. 4. The primary election is Oct. 20.

In addition to Jindal and Campbell, Republican state Sen. Walter Boasso, businessman John Georges, also a Republican, and Libertarian candidate T. Lee Horne have announced plans to run.

Political analyst Silas Lee said Democrats are running out of time if they hope to find another candidate who's familiar to voters statewide. Anyone who jumps in the race now could struggle to raise money and attract campaign workers before the traditional start of campaigning after Labor Day, Lee said.

"The Democrats do not have the luxury of time right now," Lee said.

Landrieu ran an unsuccessful campaign for mayor of New Orleans last year, losing in a runoff to incumbent Ray Nagin. His sister, U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-New Orleans, is up for re-election in 2008.

Others Democrats who have said they might run for governor are former U.S. Rep. Chris John of Crowley and Richard Ieyoub, former state attorney general. John ran unsuccessfully for U.S. Senate in 2005; Ieyoub ran for governor in 2003, failing to make the runoff.

Blanco beat Jindal in the 2003 runoff. She announced last month that she would not seek a second term.

Jindal has raised over $5 million for the race, according to his campaign. Georges also has said he has over $5 million.

Campbell said he has raised over $1 million. Campbell has been touring the state and released new radio advertisements on Monday.

Alan Stonecipher, his campaign manager, said the Democrat plans to spend a lot of time campaigning in south Louisiana, where his name is unfamiliar to voters.

"We feel good being where we are," Stonecipher said. "I think the field is shaping up for us to be in a really good position to provide an alternative to Jindal."

Copyright 2007 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: April 17, 2007, 01:37:08 PM »

Note to Dems - Don't even bother running anyone. Focus on Mary. You might be able to save her from "Santorumization." On second thought, nah, she's done.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #2 on: April 17, 2007, 04:09:31 PM »

Note to Dems - Don't even bother running anyone. Focus on Mary. You might be able to save her from "Santorumization." On second thought, nah, she's done.

I think the term you are looking for is "Clelandization".  Kinda hard to "Santorumize" a Republican, imho.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #3 on: April 17, 2007, 04:14:50 PM »

Note to Dems - Don't even bother running anyone. Focus on Mary. You might be able to save her from "Santorumization." On second thought, nah, she's done.

I think the term you are looking for is "Clelandization".  Kinda hard to "Santorumize" a Republican, imho.

You mean it is hard to "Santorumize" a Dem.  Tongue

Anyway, I am sticking with the "Santorumize" stupidity mainly because it is an emphasis on the ass kicking one will receive or hopefully receive.
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Mr. Paleoconservative
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« Reply #4 on: April 17, 2007, 05:46:12 PM »

'Ol Bobby J should get his swearing hand warmed up and ready to go, because it seems the inauguration will be the most strenuous event between now and his becoming Governor.     

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« Reply #5 on: April 17, 2007, 07:03:23 PM »

Legitimate Challengers to Bobby Jindal:
1. Kathleen Blanco
2. John Breaux
3. Mitch Landrieu
4. Chris John

Is anyone seeing a pattern here?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #6 on: April 17, 2007, 08:36:14 PM »

Legitimate Challengers to Bobby Jindal:
1. Kathleen Blanco
2. John Breaux
3. Mitch Landrieu
4. Chris John

Is anyone seeing a pattern here?

No. Neither Blanco nor that little Nepotism-made brat were ever legitimate challengers.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #7 on: April 17, 2007, 08:56:44 PM »

I saw that Chris John was mentioned as a potential candidate. Like Breaux, I am a fan of John but I really want to see Jindal win this. I bet John passes on a run anyway.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: April 17, 2007, 08:57:53 PM »

Nagin for Governer!
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #9 on: April 17, 2007, 08:59:41 PM »


How about this...

Mary resigns her Senate seat and runs for Governor. She obviously gets destroyed. Blanco then appoints Nagin to the Senate and...yeah.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #10 on: April 18, 2007, 12:15:49 PM »

Well Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell seems likely to be the Democratic candidate then, as he is already declared.  I imagine Jindal would beat him without a run-off.  And people predicting Landrieu will be 'Santorumized' at this outset should perhaps remember what they were saying at this point in 2005 about Santorum's re-election prospects in 2006...
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #11 on: April 18, 2007, 12:19:04 PM »

To be honest, if any state's Democratic party deserves to get the sh*t beaten out of it, it's Louisiana's...
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #12 on: April 18, 2007, 07:28:33 PM »

i was really looking forward to watching mitch lose another election.

too bad.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #13 on: April 18, 2007, 08:31:38 PM »

And people predicting Landrieu will be 'Santorumized' at this outset should perhaps remember what they were saying at this point in 2005 about Santorum's re-election prospects in 2006...

And you all got your laughs in. Our turn.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #14 on: April 18, 2007, 08:59:06 PM »

i was really looking forward to watching mitch lose another election.

too bad.

Hey, he might lose re-election as lt gov or something.
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Galactic Overlord
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« Reply #15 on: April 19, 2007, 09:27:02 PM »

Well Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell seems likely to be the Democratic candidate then, as he is already declared.  I imagine Jindal would beat him without a run-off.  And people predicting Landrieu will be 'Santorumized' at this outset should perhaps remember what they were saying at this point in 2005 about Santorum's re-election prospects in 2006...

Since Santorum lost 59%-41%, I couldn't say we could "Santorumize" Mary. She'd never lose by that much.  Besides, we don't have a son of an immensely popular dead governor waiting in the wings to challenge her....

"Clelandize" is probably the better term. Cleland lost due to increasing GOP margins in the suburbs and losing lots of ground south-state.  Our suburbs now count for more due to probably 100,000 Democratic voters (as one study claimed) having left N.O. post-Katrina.

What may really kill Landrieu is having Hillary Clinton on the ballot.  The Republicans will never stop reminding us how much Mary is "like" Hillary, and if Fred Thompson is the Republican nominee, it'll be even better for us.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #16 on: April 19, 2007, 11:09:31 PM »

Well Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell seems likely to be the Democratic candidate then, as he is already declared.  I imagine Jindal would beat him without a run-off.  And people predicting Landrieu will be 'Santorumized' at this outset should perhaps remember what they were saying at this point in 2005 about Santorum's re-election prospects in 2006...

Since Santorum lost 59%-41%, I couldn't say we could "Santorumize" Mary. She'd never lose by that much.  Besides, we don't have a son of an immensely popular dead governor waiting in the wings to challenge her....

Yeah, I was thinking about that earlier. We wouldn't get that margin of victory against her but I'd love to see people get on her case like they did with Santorum. I don't think a healthy ten point loss for Mary is out of the question.

I wouldn't call this "Clelandizing" though. That was almost totally unexpected whereas Mary is already being seen as the most vulnerable Dem in 2008. I do understand your comparison in regards to the demograpics now.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #17 on: April 20, 2007, 11:05:33 AM »

But Santorum was unpopular whereas Landrieu has maintained her popularity, despite the very difficult circumstances she has found herself in.  I am not being naive about this race; Landrieu is the most vulnerable Democratic Senator up for re-election next year and the NRSC will be gleeful to finally have a race to target that they have a chance of winning, but she appears to be strong going into the contest, whereas to most people Santorum looked vulnerable from the moment Casey entered the race.  The GOP has yet to find a decent candidate to run against her, and I think if Jindal wins the Governorship without difficulty this year it may help her because some of the anger against the Democrats will have been mitigated. 
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #18 on: April 20, 2007, 11:11:23 AM »
« Edited: April 20, 2007, 11:13:30 AM by Keystone Phil »

But Santorum was unpopular whereas Landrieu has maintained her popularity, despite the very difficult circumstances she has found herself in.

Santorum was quite popular in 2004 and 2005. Landrieu hasn't maintained popularity. The woman has never been all that popular and has seen her numbers take a big hit ever since Katrina.

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Landrieu going into this strong? It's pretty unlikely that Jindal will be running for the Senate but he exposed her as a weak incumbent - I believe he was polling at 59% against her while she was in the mid 30s (the first Santorum-Casey poll showed a single digit margin between the two).

There was a poll for a Landrieu-Dardenne race which showed her ahead 53%-38%. Then again, he is fairly new. He was a State Senator from 1992-2006 when he was elected Secretary of State. It is understandable if he is still somewhat unrecognizable.
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