Post-counteroffensive: How will the war look like by the end of year?

[Woody]

2+ months into the counteroffensive.

Autumn is approaching.

[NewYorkExpress]

Russia will have nuked a major Ukranian City (possibly even Kyiv).

[President Johnson]

The fighting sadly won't be over, though Russia will have lost the war from a strategical standpoint by this fall or in the coming months. Similar to the Third Reich in 1944. Don't take my word, it's what some experts conclude. Most notably Marcus Keupp, a highly respected German military economist from the University of Zürich.

[Hnv1]

Attritional war on pretty much the same lines as now. Ukrainian have small footholds across the Dneiper but they can’t expand from them, they also have some minor gains in Zaporizhzhia but pretty much same lines. The offensive around Bakhmut fails and that from stagnates. The Russians might get Kupyansk but I don’t see them going back to Red Lyman.

[PSOL]

War of attrition

[SnowLabrador]

War of attrition

This. I see the war lasting 10 years or more.

[HillGoose]

Coalition of the willing goes all the way to Moscow and liberates Russia & Ukraine from Putin's tyranny

[CumbrianLefty]

Russia will have nuked a major Ukranian City (possibly even Kyiv).

You need some new material, no offence

[It’s so Joever]

Russia gains Kupiansk. Ukrainians make tiny land gains in Zaporizhzhia province. Mostly a stalemate but with western support falling much quicker than the Russian economy sadly.

[MATTROSE94]

Russia gains Kupiansk. Ukrainians make tiny land gains in Zaporizhzhia province. Mostly a stalemate but with western support falling much quicker than the Russian economy sadly.

I agree. I think the reduction in western support will be enough for Russia and its allies (China, Iran, North Korea, Syria, etc.) to win the war outright by the end of next year without even resorting to nuclear weapons. Most Americans are now against aid to Ukraine, so I think that the Republicans in the House, as well as anti-war Democrats in the Senate, will try to block further aid to Ukraine.

[smoltchanov]

I expect prolonged war of attrition  despite (as i noted many times) Russian advantage in manpower and military equipment (quantity, if not neccessarily quality). So - first variant. Besides all - Putin needs to be "reelected", and, most likely, everything will be done to guarantee him at least 80% of vote. War is part of this strategy, especially the way it's conducted - problematic areas of country (like 2 capitals) generally avoid most hardships (including human ones), and dirt pool rural areas - well, they are accustomed to such behavoir of their government, and, generally, are even willing to tolerate it....

[SnowLabrador]

Russia gains Kupiansk. Ukrainians make tiny land gains in Zaporizhzhia province. Mostly a stalemate but with western support falling much quicker than the Russian economy sadly.

I agree with this.