CA-SEN PPIC: Porter 19%, Schiff 16%, Lee 13%

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/vanceulrich/status/1679345654878060544

[Bismarck]

Why does Porter do so bad in the Bay Area? Does Lee take more support from Porter voters?

[Babeuf]

Very (pleasantly) surprised we didn’t see more of a Schiff surge following his high profile spat with the House Republicans.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Lee is starting to catch up.

[Horus]

Lee vs. Schiff would be a very easy Lee win, the right absolutely hates him. Lee vs. Porter I'm less sure of.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

This primary is going to be a bloodbath

[Zedonathin2020]

As it stands:

Porter vs Schiff: Lean Porter

Lee vs Porter: Pure Tossup

Schiff vs Lee: Likely Lee

Porter / Lee / Schiff vs Any Republican: Safe Porter / Lee / Schiff

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Lee vs. Schiff would be a very easy Lee win, the right absolutely hates him. Lee vs. Porter I'm less sure of.

I think the right would prefer Lee to Porter too, for the same reason why Republicans like Bernie more than Warren. Lee just comes off as more likeable and less of a liberal elite policy wonk than Porter. Porter also often is on cable news trashing Trump while that wasn't Lee's thing. And on a policy note Lee aligns more with Republicans on foreign policy and trade.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Lee aligns more with Republicans on foreign policy and trade.

Imagine going back to September 14, 2001 and telling people this.

[Хahar 🤔]

It's a long way out and we all know the deal with crosstabs, but it's fascinating to see Schiff's numbers by age: 19% among voters 45 and older, just 7% with voters under 45. My guess is that support for him is strongly correlated with cable news consumption.

[TwinGeeks99]

Democrats would unironically be better off if a Republican made the top-two runoff so that donors don't waste their money on a race they're guaranteed to win.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Katie Porter regained the lead, since Barbara Lee isn't be talked about as a replacement to Feinstein anymore her polls went down