Northwest Oklahoma Democrat's 2008 Presidential Predictions

[Joe Biden 2020]

Apparently, I need to highlight Tommy Thompson now.  He just announced today, Wednesday, November 15, that he plans to form an exploratory committee after the first of the year.

[Joe Biden 2020]

That makes 4 Republicans and 4 Democrats by my count.

[WMS]

Did you hear abour Acorn? The Company in MO that registered Dead and Underaged voters? We have a lot of those in Missouri.

That's ACORN for you, and they did the same damn thing in NM over the past few elections. I know, I had to try and process the crap they presented as voter registration forms a few years back

[WMS]

Did you hear abour Acorn? The Company in MO that registered Dead and Underaged voters? We have a lot of those in Missouri.

That's ACORN for you, and they did the same damn thing in NM over the past few elections. I know, I had to try and process the crap they presented as voter registration forms a few years back

These Acorn people are freaky!

Yes, yes they are. I remember them well. *shudder*

[Joe Biden 2020]

Okay, folks.  Here it is:  Update #5, about 13 hours early, but here it is anyway:

Dates effective:  Tuesday, December 5, 2006 -- Wednesday, December 20, 2006 (normally it is Monday, December 25, but I will be out of town for Christmas so I'll do update 6 the week before)

CONTENDERS:

Democrats:

US Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN)   Filed   Rank:   60%
US Senator Joseph Biden (D-DE)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Governor Phil Bredesen (D-TN)   Not Filed   Rank:   20%
Fmr Army General Wes Clark (D-AR)        Not Filed   Rank:   35%
US Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY)   Not Filed   Rank:   70%
US Senator Christopher Dodd (D-CT)  Not Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr US Senator John Edwards (D-NC)     Not Filed   Rank:   55%
Fmr US Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK)     Filed   Rank:   25%
US Senator John Kerry (D-MA)                   Not Filed   Rank:   55%
Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)                   Not Filed   Rank:   20%
Governor Janet Napolitano (D-AZ)   Not Filed   Rank:   30%
US Senator Ben Nelson (D-NE)                   Not Filed   Rank:   35%
Governor Bill Richardson (D-NM)   Not Filed   Rank:   60%
Governor Tom Vilsack (D-IA)   Filed   Rank:   40%
US Senator Barack Obama (D-IL)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%

Republicans:

US Senator George Allen (R-VA)   Not Filed   Rank:   35%
US Senator Sam Brownback (R-KS)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%
Fmr Mayor Rudolph Guiliani (R-NY)       Filed   Rank:   55%
US Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE)   Not Filed   Rank:   45%
Governor Mike Huckabee (R-AR)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%
US Senator John McCain (R-AZ)   Filed   Rank:   75%
Governor George Pataki (R-NY)   Not Filed   Rank:   35%
Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)                   Not Filed   Rank:   45%
Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-CO)      Not Filed   Rank:   30%
Fmr Gov Tommy Thompson (R-WI)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-CA)                   Filed   Rank:   40%

If I missed any body, let me know.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Next 5 updates:

Wednesday, December 20, 2006
Tuesday, January 9, 2007
Monday, January 29, 2007
Sunday, February 18, 2007
Saturday, March 10, 2007

[Joe Biden 2020]

Update #5:  Thursday, December 28, 2006 -- Wednesday, January 17, 2007

CONTENDERS:

Democrats:

US Senator Joseph Biden (D-DE)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr Army General Wes Clark (D-AR)        Not Filed   Rank:   35%
US Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY)   Not Filed   Rank:   70%
US Senator Christopher Dodd (D-CT) Not Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr US Senator John Edwards (D-NC) Filed   Rank:   55%
Fmr US Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK)    Filed   Rank:   25%
US Senator John Kerry (D-MA)                  Not Filed   Rank:   55%
Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)               Filed   Rank:   20%
Governor Janet Napolitano (D-AZ)   Not Filed   Rank:   30%
US Senator Ben Nelson (D-NE)                   Not Filed   Rank:   35%
Governor Bill Richardson (D-NM)   Filed   Rank:   60%
Governor Tom Vilsack (D-IA)   Filed   Rank:   40%
US Senator Barack Obama (D-IL)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%

Republicans:

US Senator Sam Brownback (R-KS)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%
Fmr Mayor Rudolph Guiliani (R-NY)       Filed   Rank:   55%
US Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE)   Not Filed   Rank:   45%
Governor Mike Huckabee (R-AR)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%
US Senator John McCain (R-AZ)   Filed   Rank:   75%
Governor George Pataki (R-NY)   Not Filed   Rank:   35%
Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)   Filed   Rank:   45%
Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-CO)      Not Filed   Rank:   30%
Fmr Gov Tommy Thompson (R-WI)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-CA)                   Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr Gov Jim Gilmore (R-VA)                   Filed   Rank:   35%
Fmr Gov Frank Keating (R-OK)                   Not Filed   Rank:   45%

[Joe Biden 2020]

Updates for the next six months:

Wednesday, January 17, 2007
Tuesday, February 6, 2007
Monday, February 26, 2007
Sunday, March 25, 2007
Monday, April 9, 2007
Tuesday, April 24, 2007
Wednesday, May 9, 2007
Thursday, May 24, 2007
Friday, June 8, 2007
SKIP Saturday, June 23, 2007 (My Wedding)
Monday, July 9, 2007

[Joe Biden 2020]

Update #6, a few days late, but its still early.  This update goes from Monday, January 29, 2007 through Sunday, February 25, 2007

Here is an updated list of the current Presidential candidates.

Democrats:

US Senator Joseph Biden (D-DE)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr Army General Wes Clark (D-AR)        Not Filed   Rank:   35%
US Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY)   Filed   Rank:   70%
US Senator Christopher Dodd (D-CT)  Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr US Senator John Edwards (D-NC) Filed   Rank:   55%
Fmr US Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK)     Filed   Rank:   25%
Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)   Filed   Rank:   20%
Governor Janet Napolitano (D-AZ)   Not Filed   Rank:   30%
US Senator Ben Nelson (D-NE)    Not Filed   Rank:   35%
Governor Bill Richardson (D-NM)   Filed   Rank:   60%
Governor Tom Vilsack (D-IA)   Filed   Rank:   40%
US Senator Barack Obama (D-IL)   Filed   Rank:   50%

Republicans:

US Senator Sam Brownback (R-KS)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%
Fmr Mayor Rudolph Guiliani (R-NY)       Filed   Rank:   55%
US Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE)   Not Filed   Rank:   45%
Governor Mike Huckabee (R-AR)   Filed   Rank:   50%
US Senator John McCain (R-AZ)   Filed   Rank:   75%
Governor George Pataki (R-NY)   Not Filed   Rank:   35%
Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)   Filed   Rank:   45%
Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-CO)                   Filed   Rank:   30%
Fmr Gov Tommy Thompson (R-WI)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-CA)   Filed      Rank:   40%
Fmr Gov Jim Gilmore (R-VA)   Filed      Rank:   35%
Congressman Ron Paul (R-TX)             Filed        Rank:       25%

[Joe Biden 2020]

Tentatvie updates for the next year (February 2007-February 2008)

Monday, February 26, 2007
Monday, March 19, 2007
Monday, April 2, 2007
Monday, April 16, 2007
Monday, April 30, 2007
Monday, May 14, 2007
Monday, May 28, 2007
Monday, June 11, 2007
Monday, June 25, 2007
Monday, July 9, 2007
Monday, July 23, 2007
Monday, August 6, 2007
Monday, August 20, 2007
Monday, September 3, 2007
Monday, September 17, 2007
Monday, October 1, 2007
Monday, October 8, 2007
Monday, October 15, 2007
Monday, October 22, 2007
Monday, October 29, 2007
Monday, November 5, 2007
Monday, November 12, 2007
Monday, November 19, 2007
Monday, November 26, 2007
Monday, December 3, 2007
Monday, December 10, 2007
Monday, December 17, 2007
Monday, December 31, 2007
Monday, January 7, 2008
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Wednesday, February 6, 2008
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
Wednesday, February 27, 2008

[Joe Biden 2020]

Starting in April 2007, I will start breaking down each candidate and giving each my assessment of how they did in the last debate and how I think each will do in the rest of the primary season.

Also Starting in April 2007, I will go to a bi-weekly update, as opposed to every 3 weeks like I've been trying to do as we'll be down to 18 months until the October Homestretch.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I just realized that I forgot to change some of the Governors to Former Governors.  Oh Well.  I'll have that updated for my next update in late February.

By the way, thank you, Texas Indy.  That gives me encouragement to keep on going with this.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Update #7 will be posted on Sunday, February 25, 2007.

Stay Tuned

Nym90, can we sticky this so I don't have to keep going back 15 or 20 pages to find it?

[Joe Biden 2020]

Update #7 -- March 2006 -- Effective from Wednesday, February 28, 2007 until Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Democrats:

Those who have filed an exploratory committee or who have filed an official campaign .[/i]
US Senator Joseph Biden (D-DE)
US Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY)
US Senator Christopher Dodd (D-CT)
Fmr US Senator John Edwards (D-NC)
Fmr US Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK)
Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)
US Senator Barack Obama (D-IL)
Governor Bill Richardson (D-NM)

Those who are still deciding

Former Army General Wesley Clark (D-AR)
Rev. Al Sharpton (D-NY)

[Joe Biden 2020]

Republicans

Those who have filed an exploratory committee or have filed an official campaign.

US Senator Sam Brownback (R-KS)
Fmr Gov Jim Gilmore (R-VA)
Fmr Mayor Rudolph Guiliani (R-NY)
Fmr Governor Mike Huckabee (R-AR)
Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-CA)
US Senator John McCain (R-AZ)
Rep. Ron Paul (R-TX)
Fmr Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)
Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-CO)
Fmr Gov Tommy Thompson (R-WI)

Those who are still deciding

Fmr House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA)
US Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE)
Fmr Governor George Pataki (R-NY)

[Mr. Morden]

You forgot Ron Paul in the exploratory committee list.  Also, you should add Al Sharpton to the list of Democrats who are still deciding.  He has publicly floated the idea of running, but I think the last word from him is that he wouldn't decide until "late spring / early summer".

[Joe Biden 2020]

Tentative Update Schedule for the next 12 months

* * * NOTE:  Starting in April 2007 and going on through September 2007, I will update every 2 weeks.  From October 2007-March 2008, I will update every 10 days.  April 2008-October, 2008, I will update every week.

Tuesday, March 27, 2007
Tuesday, April 10, 2007
Tuesday, April 24, 2007
Tuesday, May 8, 2007
Tuesday, May 22, 2007
Tuesday, June 5, 2007
Tuesday, June 19, 2007
Tuesday, July 3, 2007
Tuesday, July 17, 2007
Tuesday, July 31, 2007
Tuesday, August 14, 2007
Tuesday, August 28, 2007
Tuesday, September 11, 2007
Tuesday, September 25, 2007
Friday, October 5, 2007
Monday, October 15, 2007
Thursday, October 25, 2007
Sunday, November 4, 2007
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Tuesday, December 4, 2007
Friday, December 14, 2007
Monday, December 24, 2007
Thursday, January 3, 2008
Sunday, January 13, 2008 -- Iowa Special
Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Saturday, February 2, 2008 -- Super Tuesday Special
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Friday, February 22, 2008
Monday, March 3, 2008
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Sunday, March 23, 2008
Wednesday, April 2, 2008

[Joe Biden 2020]

You forgot Ron Paul in the exploratory committee list.  Also, you should add Al Sharpton to the list of Democrats who are still deciding.  He has publicly floated the idea of running, but I think the last word from him is that he wouldn't decide until "late spring / early summer".

Thanks, I just fixed it!!

[Joe Biden 2020]

Update #7 will be posted on Tuesday morning, March 27, 2007

[Joe Biden 2020]

Okay, a little late, but not bad.  I had family issues to take care of last week.  Update #7 effective Tuesday, April 3, 2007 -- Tuesday, April 17, 2007

For the next 6 months, I will update every two weeks instead of once a month.

[Joe Biden 2020]

CONTENDERS:

Democrats:

US Senator Joseph Biden (D-DE)   Filed      Rank:   40%
Fmr Army General Wes Clark (D-AR) Not Filed   Rank:   35%
US Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY)   Not Filed   Rank:   70%
US Senator Christopher Dodd (D-CT) Not Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr US Senator John Edwards (D-NC) Filed   Rank:   55%
Fmr US Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK) Filed   Rank:   25%
Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)   Filed      Rank:   20%
Governor Bill Richardson (D-NM)   Filed      Rank:   60%
US Senator Barack Obama (D-IL)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%

Republicans:

US Senator Sam Brownback (R-KS)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%
Fmr Mayor Rudolph Guiliani (R-NY) Filed   Rank:   70%
US Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE)   Not Filed   Rank:   45%
Fmr Governor Mike Huckabee (R-AR)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%
US Senator John McCain (R-AZ)   Filed      Rank:   70%
Fmr Governor George Pataki (R-NY)   Not Filed   Rank:   35%
Fmr Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)   Filed      Rank:   60%
Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-CO)   Not Filed   Rank:   30%
Fmr Gov Tommy Thompson (R-WI)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-CA)   Filed      Rank:   40%
Fmr Gov Jim Gilmore (R-VA)   Filed      Rank:   35%
Fmr Sen. Fred Thompson (R-TN)   Not Filed   Rank:  60%

One note:  Tommy Thompson won't officially announce until Wednesday, April 4, 2007, but since he said he would announce, I'm putting him in bold.

Next Update:  Tuesday, April 17, 2007

[Mr. Morden]

I'm confused.  Does "filed" include candidates who've formed exploratory committees but have not officially announced a run?  Because that used to be the way you did it.  In previous updates you were including people who just had exploratory committees.  But now you say that Huckabee has "not filed" even though he has an exploratory committee.

Oh, and doesn't Gilmore also just have an exploratory committee?  Either both Gilmore and Huckabee should be bolded or they should both be un-bolded.

[Joe Biden 2020]

I'm confused.  Does "filed" include candidates who've formed exploratory committees but have not officially announced a run?  Because that used to be the way you did it.  In previous updates you were including people who just had exploratory committees.  But now you say that Huckabee has "not filed" even though he has an exploratory committee.

Oh, and doesn't Gilmore also just have an exploratory committee?  Either both Gilmore and Huckabee should be bolded or they should both be un-bolded.

Filed is supposed to mean, and I realize it doesn't reflect accurately on this latest update, that they have announced.  I should probably divide "filed" into "filed" and "exploring".  I'll do that for update #8 which comes up April 17.

Thanks

[Joe Biden 2020]

CONTENDERS:

Democrats:

US Senator Joseph Biden (D-DE)   Filed      Rank:   40%
Fmr Army General Wes Clark (D-AR) Not Filed   Rank:   35%
US Senator Hillary Clinton (D-NY)   Filed   Rank:   70%
US Senator Christopher Dodd (D-CT)  Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr US Senator John Edwards (D-NC) Filed   Rank:   55%
Fmr US Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK)    Filed   Rank:   25%
Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)   Filed      Rank:   20%
Governor Bill Richardson (D-NM)   Filed      Rank:   60%
US Senator Barack Obama (D-IL)   Filed   Rank:   50%

Republicans:

US Senator Sam Brownback (R-KS)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Fmr Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-GA)   Not Filed   Rank:   50%
Fmr Mayor Rudolph Guiliani (R-NY) Filed   Rank:   70%
US Senator Chuck Hagel (R-NE)   Not Filed   Rank:   45%
Fmr Governor Mike Huckabee (R-AR)   Filed   Rank:   50%
US Senator John McCain (R-AZ)   Filed      Rank:   70%
Fmr Governor George Pataki (R-NY)   Not Filed   Rank:   35%
Fmr Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)   Filed      Rank:   60%
Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-CO)   Filed   Rank:   30%
Fmr Gov Tommy Thompson (R-WI)   Filed   Rank:   40%
Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-CA)   Filed      Rank:   40%
Fmr Gov Jim Gilmore (R-VA)   Filed      Rank:   35%
Fmr Sen. Fred Thompson (R-TN)   Not Filed   Rank:  60%

One note:  Tommy Thompson won't officially announce until Wednesday, April 4, 2007, but since he said he would announce, I'm putting him in bold.

For this update:  "Filed" means they are either exploring or have filed.  I'll be clearer with it and divide it into "filed" and "exploring" for my April 17, 2007 update.