catering to Asians or blacks -- both suboptimally distributed for the elecotral college -- doesn't make a large difference (good thread on the fruitlessness of the GOP trying to win the black vote: https://twitter.com/xenocryptsite/status/1635426013407485952). Hispanics aren't monolithic, some identify as white, and can be targeted.
https://twitter.com/rp_griffin/status/1633572091080441858"If you take a bunch of policy questions on different topics and scale them, you find that ideological self-identification is far less predictive of views among Black, Latino, and API respondents."
linkIn every category here Asians are closer to Whites than Blacks or Latinos are, but are also closer to Blacks (and especially Latinos) than they are to Whites.
https://twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/1636449803423952898"Here's the problem: Even if you can argue that ideology itself is an invalid construct, there's a huge mismatch between indices built off policy questions and Black voter support in general elections. Black & other voters *who take the exact same positions* vote very differently"
linkSome things I'm seeing here regarding 2020 voter survey data:
- The conservative-on-30%-or-less subset of Latino voters were infinitely more likely to vote for Trump than every other racial group due to not being >95% Biden. Latinos por Trump effect?
- Asians were Trumpier than Latinos within the 30% to 60% conservative range (the gap is largest between 40% and 50% but still only 5% points or so for Biden-Trump margin), but more D/less R outside that range.
- 70% to 80% conservative Asians were noticeably less R than their Latino counterparts, suggestive of a #neverTrump effect.
- The conservative-on-80%-or-more subset of Black voters were unanimous Trump voters.