In 2022, with remote workers presumably having gone back, Door County voted for Democrats in most races. Meanwhile, all Democratic candidates in Michigan in 2022 won Leelanau County by double digits. It would take something very unexpected for Biden to lose Leelanau in 2024, and he is also the clear favorite in Door. To the extent that the 2020 swings in either county were the product of remote workers, those workers are there to stay.
Agreed regarding Leelanau, but not quite as sure about Door. It seems like a swing county in a swing state, tbh. Sure, Evers won it, but Ron Johnson also carried it in the Senate race. While it did vote to the left of the state in both races, it did so by a very small amount. If the GOP wins WI in 2024 - which is very possible - then most likely they win Door, too. It's a longtime swing county that seems like a good bellwether for WI (definitely a better bellwether than any other of the other 71 counties), as well as a good national bellwether (not gotten it wrong since 1992).
