Wick polling- GA, NC, AZ: tie, budd +4, Kelly +3
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  Wick polling- GA, NC, AZ: tie, budd +4, Kelly +3
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Author Topic: Wick polling- GA, NC, AZ: tie, budd +4, Kelly +3  (Read 1000 times)
Matty
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« on: October 21, 2022, 08:17:00 PM »

https://www.wick.io/

Scroll to bottom of the page
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Person Man
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2022, 08:27:01 PM »

Just seems really random
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Matty
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2022, 08:29:13 PM »


All the other races seem right in line with polling except for their PA result
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2022, 08:30:41 PM »

The first sentence in their methodology statement is "Forecasts will favor the bold this November."  I must admit that they're bold.
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Person Man
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2022, 08:32:12 PM »


All the other races seem right in line with polling except for their PA result

And Michigan. No way Kelly wins if Whitmer loses unless Arizona and Georgia are Lean D and Pennsylvania and Michigan are lean R from here on out.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2022, 08:32:49 PM »

People really need to stop taking these pollsters at face value.

Do people really believe that Kelly is winning by 3 while Dixon is winning by 2 while Oz is winning by 5 while Warnock and Walker are tied? Come on now.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2022, 08:35:44 PM »


All the other races seem right in line with polling except for their PA result

And Michigan. No way Kelly wins if Whitmer loses unless Arizona and Georgia are Lean D and Pennsylvania and Michigan are lean R from here on out.


I mean,AZ/GA are far more favoriable for Democrats demographically than PA/MI. I agree that the shift might not be that quick, but people need to stop trying to unskew these polls. Either discount them entirely, or take them at face value and throw them in the averages.
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Person Man
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2022, 08:39:22 PM »


All the other races seem right in line with polling except for their PA result

And Michigan. No way Kelly wins if Whitmer loses unless Arizona and Georgia are Lean D and Pennsylvania and Michigan are lean R from here on out.


I mean,AZ/GA are far more favoriable for Democrats demographically than PA/MI. I agree that the shift might not be that quick, but people need to stop trying to unskew these polls. Either discount them entirely, or take them at face value and throw them in the averages.

I can buy that they might be changing that quickly especially if the next cycle decimates political leadership.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2022, 08:43:51 PM »

If you all want to believe that Oz and Masters both have 44/45 favorability ratings... be my guest
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Boobs
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2022, 09:06:56 PM »



Candidate Quality Matters Smiley
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2022, 09:08:50 PM »



Candidate Quality Matters Smiley

Look at these numbers. But I'm ridiculous for thinking this is junk?

You can shade me all you want for any other opinion I have. But if we're going to rightfully junk Center Street PAC, then this is junk too.
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Person Man
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2022, 02:59:06 AM »



Candidate Quality Matters Smiley

Look at these numbers. But I'm ridiculous for thinking this is junk?

You can shade me all you want for any other opinion I have. But if we're going to rightfully junk Center Street PAC, then this is junk too.

For all we know, this is the R+12 election that collapses the Democratic Party and leaves to at least temporarily to an oligarchy or this could be a bad pollster where 50% of the electorate describes themselves as right-wing. Wyoming like numbers.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2022, 04:42:39 AM »

Why would Fighter Pilot-Astronaut Captain husband of Gabby Giffords incumbent Senator Mark Kelly be outperforming the GCB against 35 year old crypto tech incel bro?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2022, 06:26:08 AM »

After all of these negative polls Hobbs, Kelly and Warnock still are winning
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Person Man
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2022, 07:21:37 AM »
« Edited: October 22, 2022, 11:49:41 AM by Person Man »

Why would Fighter Pilot-Astronaut Captain husband of Gabby Giffords incumbent Senator Mark Kelly be outperforming the GCB against 35 year old crypto tech incel bro?

The typical Republican politician now is some oligarch celebrity/rapist/sociopath or oligarch aspie/incel/(grand) wizard.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2022, 10:18:55 AM »

I can't see "Wick Polling" without thinking "John Wick does polling now? What a sh***tty sequel."
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2022, 11:18:31 AM »

The first sentence in their methodology statement is "Forecasts will favor the bold this November."  I must admit that they're bold.
Wick: The Brave and Bold. Coming to theaters November 8.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #17 on: October 22, 2022, 11:20:46 AM »

The first sentence in their methodology statement is "Forecasts will favor the bold this November."  I must admit that they're bold.
Wick: The Brave and Bold. Coming to theaters November 8.

PQG: Ick, definitely not seeing that piece of crap.  I'm gonna go get more Sno-Caps from the lobby.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2022, 11:34:43 AM »

The first sentence in their methodology statement is "Forecasts will favor the bold this November."  I must admit that they're bold.
Wick: The Brave and Bold. Coming to theaters November 8.

PQG: Ick, definitely not seeing that piece of crap.  I'm gonna go get more Sno-Caps from the lobby.
Milk Duds are far and away the superior theater candy.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2022, 11:50:44 AM »

The first sentence in their methodology statement is "Forecasts will favor the bold this November."  I must admit that they're bold.
Wick: The Brave and Bold. Coming to theaters November 8.

PQG: Ick, definitely not seeing that piece of crap.  I'm gonna go get more Sno-Caps from the lobby.
Milk Duds are far and away the superior theater candy.

Ah, another thread successfully derailed. 

(P. S. Ew.  No.)
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soundchaser
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« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2022, 11:51:51 AM »

Ah, another thread successfully derailed. 

(P. S. Ew.  No.)
As long as you don't like Whoppers, which (along with the thankfully removed Green Apple Skittle) are the scourge of the candy world.
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Person Man
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« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2022, 03:31:29 PM »

Ah, another thread successfully derailed. 

(P. S. Ew.  No.)
As long as you don't like Whoppers, which (along with the thankfully removed Green Apple Skittle) are the scourge of the candy world.

Well, you are going to hate what I have to say next...
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