Who wins the second round

[bagelman]

Lula, but it's close. There is some serious US 2020 energy happening here.

Complete with a potential coup attempt

[DaleCooper]

It's tough to find any good english-language analysis on this anywhere online. Everything seems to framing this in a way that Trump-obsessed Americans on both the right and left can understand. In particular I'm looking for information on the anticipated distribution of the voters who favored alternative candidates, particularly those who voted for candidates that have since endorsed Lula, but all I can find is clickbait crap from both mainstream and tiny outlets that say it's a statistically tied horserace simply because Bolsonaro over-performed polls. So if anyone here knows of any intelligent unbiased resources, I'd love to get a link to that.

I've heard some compelling information on this website that Bolsonaro may end up being favored by election day but I still find it hard to believe that he can gain the necessary 7% at Lula's expense in order to win this. So I'm still reasonably confident that Lula will win.