PA-GOV (Marist): Shapiro +13

[prag_prog]

Shapiro +13 among RVs. Among LVs (definitely voting), it is Shapiro +12 (54-42)

https://twitter.com/nick_field90/status/1574613777253040128
Favorables:
Shapiro: 47/30
Mastriano: 31/45

Biden Job approval - 42/52 among Adults, 43/53 among RVs, 46/52 among LVs

[Lief 🗽]

Odd that Marist and IA are so close in the governor’s race but so different in the senate.

[Person Man]

If Fetterman's above 50, its over....maybe he pulls a Biden and gets a really nasty photo finish? This presupposes that the Republican base will treat everyone going forward the way they treated Trump. That is, they end up making up the difference with people who "don't vote".

[Mr.Phips]

If Fetterman's above 50, its over....maybe he pulls a Biden and gets a really nasty photo finish? This presupposes that the Republican base will treat everyone going forward the way they treated Trump. That is, they end up making up the difference with people who "don't vote".

Probably the most likely outcome IMO.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Marist= Trash
But yeah I don't see how Mastriano actually wins at this point. Doesn't seem possible

[Eraserhead]

Safe to say this race is probably over after today's revelation, if it wasn't already...

[President Johnson]

The only thing that somewhat surprises me here is that Mastriano's unfavorabilities aren't higher. Given how much the guy is an insane lunatic.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The only thing that somewhat surprises me here is that Mastriano's unfavorabilities aren't higher. Given how much the guy is an insane lunatic.
[/quote

You know why because Rs control the state legislature that's why Mastriano favs aren't higher the same us going in in WI that's why Evers abd Barnes are in competetive races because SCOTUS GERRYMANDERING THE STATE LEGISLATURE THE RS WENT TO KAVANAUGH TO GERRYMANDERING PA and WI, MI isn't that gerrymandering,

[Yoda]

Yeh I agree this is over. Shapiro is over 50 and I don't think any of his voters are persuadable, at least not by an election denier.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Why would a racist, anti-Semitic election denier not be popular with minorities?

[Alben Barkley]

Biden Job approval - 42/52 among Adults, 43/53 among RVs, 46/52 among LVs

It will certainly be a very interesting test this year of whether the shift among college educated whites (traditionally the highest propensity voters) helps Democrats even in years which in the past would have been terrible for them.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Biden Job approval - 42/52 among Adults, 43/53 among RVs, 46/52 among LVs

It will certainly be a very interesting test this year of whether the shift among college educated whites (traditionally the highest propensity voters) helps Democrats even in years which in the past would have been terrible for them.

I mean it has to somewhat, at least.