PA-SEN (InsiderAdvantage): Fetterman +3

[wbrocks67]

Fetterman (D) 45%
Oz (R) 42%
Gerhardt (L) 2%
Someone else 3%
Undecided 8%

Also has Shapiro +15, 52-37.

https://www.fox29.com/election/insideradvantage-fox-29-poll-shows-fetterman-leading-oz-shapiro-in-double-digit-lead-over-mastriano

[wbrocks67]

Senior voters and women favor Fetterman by more than ten points, while men and voters under the age of 65 more likely to vote for Oz.

If this is the case, Fetterman is doing very well - winning the olds in PA is very key to a Dem win.

This poll is very useless though, giving us 13% undecided/other

[SnowLabrador]

I highly doubt there'll be a 12-point gap between the Senate and Gubernatorial races.

[Lief 🗽]

Insider Advantage is garbage but this race is starting to get ugly. Really not great that it’s not even October and Oz has already nearly closed the gap.

[wbrocks67]

Their White n= sample is rather large, ~450 people, and Fetterman beating Oz by 3. That would be massive if that were the case (Biden lost by 15 among Whites)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Insider Advantage is garbage but this race is starting to get ugly. Really not great that it’s not even October and Oz has already nearly closed the gap.

Lol stop worrying it's VBM early voting underway that juice D GOTV  NC is early voting and the R turnout is down and D turnout is up meaning Beasley has a fighting chance

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Firmly of the view that this race ends up at about Fetterman +5 on election day

[Progressive Pessimist]

Insider Advantage is garbage but this race is starting to get ugly. Really not great that it’s not even October and Oz has already nearly closed the gap.

He has, but I still argue that it has more to do with Oz finally consolidating Republicans due to getting them to hate Fetterman. He still can't get over 46 or 47% in most polls while Fetterman has come close to 50% in many.

If, or when, Fetterman's campaign finally matches or exceeds Oz's campaign in advertising again then we can probably see the race stabilize for Fetterman with more pronounced mid single digit leads which may very well be the end result.

[sting in the rafters]

Going into math mode for a moment if Fetterman can muster 3,000,000 votes he should be golden. Have a hard time seeing Oz find that number.

[kwabbit]

Insider Advantage is garbage but this race is starting to get ugly. Really not great that it’s not even October and Oz has already nearly closed the gap.

I think we should wait for a trendline to make that conclusion. As of now we’ve gotten a lot of one off polls from questionable pollsters. Until a good pollsters revisits the race, then we don’t really know where things stand. It’s not like the four Laxalt polls in a day.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All we know that Approvals lied and said Biden was at 33/61 favs and 41 percent Approvals there is no way we would be winning these sort of races even if Biden rebounded it's because of Trump corruption too we are winning OH and SD andUT, the rankings are gone once EDay happened it's a blank map

I always said to Rs don't be so cocky about winning in 22 Approvals lied and everyone of them made R maps, including Progressive Moderate, he still has Rs winning 54 Seats it's always been a 303 map with wave insurance because we only lost VA by 2