My Oz vs. Fetterman County Ratings
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  My Oz vs. Fetterman County Ratings
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Author Topic: My Oz vs. Fetterman County Ratings  (Read 514 times)
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 03, 2022, 06:17:47 PM »

Safe D: Allegheny, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia

Likely D: Chester, Lackawanna

Lean D: Lehigh, Monroe

Tossup: Bucks, Centre, Dauphin, Erie, Northampton

Lean R:

Likely R: Luzerne, Berks

Safe R: Adams, Armstrong, Beaver, Bedford, Blair, Bradford, Butler, Cambria, Cameron, Carbon, Clarion, Clearfield, Clinton, Columbia, Crawford, Cumberland, Elk, Fayette, Forest, Franklin, Fulton, Greene, Huntingdon, Indiana, Jefferson, Juniata, Lancaster, Lawrence, Lycoming, McKean, Mercer, Mifflin, Montour, Northumberland, Perry, Pike, Potter, Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Sullivan, Susquehanna, Tioga, Union, Venango, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Westmoreland, Wyoming, York
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Politician
Junior Chimp
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E: -0.13, S: -0.87

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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2022, 08:10:24 PM »

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=fvlc

Likely = within 15%
Lean = within 5%
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #2 on: June 04, 2022, 01:36:34 PM »

Safe D: Allegheny, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia

Likely D: Chester, Lackawanna

Lean D: Lehigh, Monroe

Tossup: Bucks, Centre, Dauphin, Erie, Northampton

Lean R:

Likely R: Luzerne, Berks

Safe R: Adams, Armstrong, Beaver, Bedford, Blair, Bradford, Butler, Cambria, Cameron, Carbon, Clarion, Clearfield, Clinton, Columbia, Crawford, Cumberland, Elk, Fayette, Forest, Franklin, Fulton, Greene, Huntingdon, Indiana, Jefferson, Juniata, Lancaster, Lawrence, Lycoming, McKean, Mercer, Mifflin, Montour, Northumberland, Perry, Pike, Potter, Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Sullivan, Susquehanna, Tioga, Union, Venango, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Westmoreland, Wyoming, York

Dauphin and Centre are at least Lean D, the former possibly likely D
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: June 04, 2022, 02:52:18 PM »

Safe D: Allegheny, Delaware, Montgomery, Philadelphia

Likely D: Chester, Lackawanna

Lean D: Lehigh, Monroe

Tossup: Bucks, Centre, Dauphin, Erie, Northampton

Lean R:

Likely R: Luzerne, Berks

Safe R: Adams, Armstrong, Beaver, Bedford, Blair, Bradford, Butler, Cambria, Cameron, Carbon, Clarion, Clearfield, Clinton, Columbia, Crawford, Cumberland, Elk, Fayette, Forest, Franklin, Fulton, Greene, Huntingdon, Indiana, Jefferson, Juniata, Lancaster, Lawrence, Lycoming, McKean, Mercer, Mifflin, Montour, Northumberland, Perry, Pike, Potter, Schuylkill, Snyder, Somerset, Sullivan, Susquehanna, Tioga, Union, Venango, Warren, Washington, Wayne, Westmoreland, Wyoming, York

Dauphin and Centre are at least Lean D, the former possibly likely D

Fair, I put both as toss-up simply because DeFoor was able to win both in the 2020 Auditor race.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #4 on: June 04, 2022, 07:30:42 PM »

We don't know until we get a GE poll, you see how close NC and OH R, Rs arent winning those by double digits
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