What will GA-Sen's result be?

[Tekken_Guy]

What will be the ultimate outcome of GA-Sen?

[ElectionsGuy]

Apparently this is bold on this forum, but Walker wins outright. Unless the third party vote is unusually high.

[SnowLabrador]

Apparently this is bold on this forum, but Walker wins outright. Unless the third party vote is unusually high.

This. If Rubio is winning by 9-12 points, I don't think Warnock can win. I get that perfectly uniform swing nationwide doesn't happen, but I don't think FL and GA will swing that far apart in two years.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's going to a runoff and so will LA Mixon is gonna win Chambers is too Liberal Walker is polling well below 50, 47/44

Warnock, Abrams  and Mixon wins in Round 2 but Abrams may not win

[Xing]

It ends up tight enough to go to a run-off (49.5-49 or so, I guess in favor of Walker), and Walker wins the run-off by 1-2%.

[Chips]

I think a runoff is 50-50 likely. Whoever wins a runoff I feel would depend on the composition in November. If the Dems are already at 50 without it, I think Warnock would win. If the GOP is already at 51, I think Dem turnout would be partly depressed and so Walker would win. If it's 50-49 GOP with this seat to decide control, it could go either way.

I think Warnock has a slightly better chance of winning in November outright but Walker could easily do the same. I'd say Walker has about a 60% chance of winning altogether as of now but that leaves plenty of room for the race to go other way. This is a race I probably wouldn't be even 70% confident on until the polls close in November.

[Schiff for Senate]

Apparently this is bold on this forum, but Walker wins outright. Unless the third party vote is unusually high.

This. If Rubio is winning by 9-12 points, I don't think Warnock can win. I get that perfectly uniform swing nationwide doesn't happen, but I don't think FL and GA will swing that far apart in two years.

He absolutely is but that's not got so much to do with the national environment as it does to do with the fact that Rubio's an electoral titan of sorts, and FL/Miami-Dade's trends and the red wave won't hurt.

Anyway, I don't want to predict the actual winner, but it goes to a runoff.

Apparently this is bold on this forum, but Walker wins outright. Unless the third party vote is unusually high.

It's going to a runoff. Walker may win the runoff, but it's going to a runoff.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Apparently this is bold on this forum, but Walker wins outright. Unless the third party vote is unusually high.

This. If Rubio is winning by 9-12 points, I don't think Warnock can win. I get that perfectly uniform swing nationwide doesn't happen, but I don't think FL and GA will swing that far apart in two years.

This is ridiculous. Lol. Rubio is popular in Florida…. Like what they do there has no bearing on people that live in the state of Georgia.

[mtvoter]

Apparently this is bold on this forum, but Walker wins outright. Unless the third party vote is unusually high.

This. If Rubio is winning by 9-12 points, I don't think Warnock can win. I get that perfectly uniform swing nationwide doesn't happen, but I don't think FL and GA will swing that far apart in two years.

But given that Manchin's approvals are sky high with WV WWC voters, I believe this cancels out Electoral God Rubio's mega-coattails among the Latino voters, which means Warnock still has a chance as long as he manages to win amongst black voters, the only demographic group left alive after the clash of two electoral beasts from the North and the South of GA.

But I think if it's a big red wave combined with Walker's football career in GA, Warnock might lose the black vote and the election.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Apparently this is bold on this forum, but Walker wins outright. Unless the third party vote is unusually high.

This. If Rubio is winning by 9-12 points, I don't think Warnock can win. I get that perfectly uniform swing nationwide doesn't happen, but I don't think FL and GA will swing that far apart in two years.

LOL SnowLabrador. You probably think that since all shifts are uniform that Duckworth will come within five of losing.

[Unelectable Bystander]

Apparently this is bold on this forum, but Walker wins outright. Unless the third party vote is unusually high.

This. If Rubio is winning by 9-12 points, I don't think Warnock can win. I get that perfectly uniform swing nationwide doesn't happen, but I don't think FL and GA will swing that far apart in two years.

But given that Manchin's approvals are sky high with WV WWC voters, I believe this cancels out Electoral God Rubio's mega-coattails among the Latino voters, which means Warnock still has a chance as long as he manages to win amongst black voters, the only demographic group left alive after the clash of two electoral beasts from the North and the South of GA.

But I think if it's a big red wave combined with Walker's football career in GA, Warnock might lose the black vote and the election.

A+ post 😂

[MT Treasurer]

Walker very narrowly avoids a runoff, but it votes only slightly to the right of NH, which tells you all you need to know about the state's long-term future and how long Walker's tenure will be.

[Red Wall]

Walker wins outright

[Minnesota Mike]

Voted Likely Warnock without a runoff.

- Runoff is unlikely. Tough for 3rd parties to make the ballot in Georgia and normally only the Libertarians are on the ballot besides Republicans and Democrats. Libertarians will probably get their usual 2% meaning it would take an extremely close race which I don't see.

- Walker IMHO is going to be a terrible candidate, an opposition researchers dream. The AP just had another damming story out this week about him threatening his former wife with a gun. Wait until after the primaries when Democrats drop their oppo research. Had Republicans ran a generic Rep from GA this would be a tossup race but Walker is going to be a disaster IMO.

[Suburbia]

Warnock wins, the GAGOP should have went with Glavine.

[Mr. Smith]

Walker wins outright.

[Pink Panther]

Personally, I think this race is headed to a runoff. But I'm not confident at all to predict the runoff itself, as it depends on a plethora of factors that are present at the moment and those later in the campaign we don't know about yet. I believe the whole "GADEMS have a high floor and trending Dem rapidly" schtick, while very true, can be overstated at times, especially in this national environment. However, these factors are still huge, the GAGOP collapsing on itself at the moment, as well how Walker conducts his campaign, makes this race a pure tossup at the moment. If you want a more clear prediction, ask me somewhere in August or September, although there's a good chance the result will still be as blurry as it is right now.

[President Johnson]

Bold take: Warnock wins outright 50.3% to 49.4%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's aren't worried that much about GA, it's a Runoff, Cheri Beasley whom is a judge, Val DEMINGS, Luke Mixon and Tim Ryan are the candidates they are concerned with it's not for Prez, so Biden doesn't have to be 59 percent to win OH, NC and FL it's for Congress and D's won OH in. 2018 with 46/43 M votes not 80/75 M