Is Youngkin running the worst gubernatorial campaign of the last decade?

[Badger]

He's going to be a God-awful governor.

Non Swing Voter Badger being a hack, example 1291

Oh, it's back. How nice.

[Real Texan Politics]

I think we're ignoring the REAL correct answer...


Princess Blanding

[ElectionsGuy]

Take the opposite of what NSW says, and it's closer to reality.

Shockingly, despite hundreds of posts in just the last two weeks, he hasn't posted since the results started coming in.

[Sir Mohamed]

Ugh, bumping this thread already gives me vibes about bumping early 2021 threads with questions about the 2022 midterm being an aberration after a massive GOP wave in Nov. 2022.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Ugh, bumping this thread already gives me vibes about bumping early 2021 threads with questions about the 2022 midterm being an aberration after a massive GOP wave in Nov. 2022.

The issue with all those early 2021 threads was it fundamentally misunderstood the Democrats starting position in 2021 vs 1993/2009. Even if the Democrats had a decent night in 2022 they almost certianly would have lost the house given how small a majority they had.

Similarly due to that I don't even think if Republicans win a bigger wave than 1994/2010 that they would come close to the number of seat gains as the amount of seats you can gain when you start out with 213 seats is much less than when you start out with 178.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Shockingly, despite hundreds of posts in just the last two weeks, he hasn't posted since the results started coming in.

He is committing to his pledge, in that he would leave Atlas for a year if Youngkin wins.

I mean i can't find it, but i thought i've read it somewhere.

[President Johnson]

Ugh, bumping this thread already gives me vibes about bumping early 2021 threads with questions about the 2022 midterm being an aberration after a massive GOP wave in Nov. 2022.

The issue with all those early 2021 threads was it fundamentally misunderstood the Democrats starting position in 2021 vs 1993/2009. Even if the Democrats had a decent night in 2022 they almost certianly would have lost the house given how small a majority they had.

Similarly due to that I don't even think if Republicans win a bigger wave than 1994/2010 that they would come close to the number of seat gains as the amount of seats you can gain when you start out with 213 seats is much less than when you start out with 178.

Yeah, I agree. I have to confess that I thought 2020 may be some kind of realignment with suburban voters becoming solid Democratic while "low propensity white voters" wouldn't turn out without Trump on the ballot. That paired with Biden passing popular policies would give the Democrats a major edge over an ever radicalizing Republican Party. I expected Manchin and Sinema to be less obstructionist and Biden's experience to pay off in passing big legislation (experience that Obama lacked when he became president).

Obviously that doesn't mean anything for 2024, both Obama and Clinton got reelected. Reagan also had a poor first midterm and was unpopular in 1981/82 and turned it around big time.

[SnowLabrador]

I think he ran the best one.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

I think we got our answer.

[Schiff for Senate]

Clearly not. If he did then that means 2022 is going to be a much better year for the GOP than 2018 was for the Democrats, since then he won in a Biden+10 state in spite of running a terrible campaign. Even without the results, though, no, there have definitely been worse gubernatorial campaigns in the past decade. Definitely. I would have said this even if McAuliffe won comfortably.