How well would a Yang/Gabbard ticket on a 3rd party ticket do?
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  How well would a Yang/Gabbard ticket on a 3rd party ticket do?
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Author Topic: How well would a Yang/Gabbard ticket on a 3rd party ticket do?  (Read 1102 times)
Shaula🏳️‍⚧️
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« on: October 11, 2021, 12:18:43 AM »

Yang is starting a 3rd party, Gabbard is increasingly becoming more of a centrist-populist maverick and both are friendly with each other and have a similar support base.
If somehow they get ballot access in most states and run in 2024 on a ticket, how well would they do?
0.5%? 1%? 5%?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2021, 12:33:10 AM »

That is, perhaps, the least attractive ticket to have ever been suggested on this website.

No more than 0.2% of the national vote.
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2021, 07:23:56 AM »

How well did Kanye West do?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2021, 07:53:55 AM »

What precisely unites Yang and Gabbard other than a superficially similar edginess?
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tosk
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« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2021, 08:40:20 AM »

I mean they might get libertarian 2016 levels in the right environment
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PSOL
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« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2021, 01:40:21 PM »

100,000 votes, maybe even less.
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izixs
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2021, 02:16:10 AM »

What precisely unites Yang and Gabbard other than a superficially similar edginess?

They're good at attracting the attention of the worst sort of fair weather friends when it comes to voters?
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Ancestral Republican
Crane
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2021, 03:07:26 AM »

What exactly is their base? Asian tech bros who idolize Elon Musk and horny divorced boomer dads who weren't already planning on writing in Ivanka Trump?
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Vice President Christian Man
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2021, 03:33:11 PM »

I'd predict Perot-type numbers if Biden/Harris is unpopular enough and they campaign extensively. Biden could flip some states with <40% of the vote, but I doubt the P.V. margin would be affected. Biden would probably get >50% in a handful of states (CA,MD,VT, DC/MA) but that's it in this scenario. All the other states would likely be in the 40's for both him & the GOP nominee (assuming it's Trump).
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AltWorlder
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2021, 04:16:28 PM »

What exactly is their base? Asian tech bros who idolize Elon Musk and horny divorced boomer dads who weren't already planning on writing in Ivanka Trump?

As with Trump, the base is mobilizing disaffected apathetic non-engaged, low information voters who normally are non-voters.

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/right-leaning-voters-support-andrew-yang-2020-1

https://www.libertynation.com/why-do-republicans-support-tulsi-gabbard/
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afleitch
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2021, 06:45:56 AM »

Terribly.

But we'd have to hear about them endlessly.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2021, 08:36:54 PM »

Yang could scrape together about 3-5%, which is an incredibly impressive accomplishment in this day and age. If anything, I think it'd be Gabbard that would hold him back.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2021, 09:40:41 PM »

Andrew Yang wouldn't pick Tulsi Gabbard anyways.

He's more likely to pick some rich guy like Mike Bloomberg as his running mate.
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2021, 10:23:06 PM »

Bad just like every other third party in recent memory. Probably would poll better due to star power though.
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kwabbit
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2021, 10:35:09 PM »

Yang and someone more credible in government but still forward thinking would be optimal. Only weirdos like Tulsi Gabbard, I think having her on the ticket would delegitimize it. A campaign wouldn't just be trying to win 18-24 White/Asian men. Yang was unable to appeal to any demographic besides that in the primary.
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2021, 05:09:43 PM »

Very good in the Online polls.
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Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2021, 10:55:59 AM »

Third party support will be at a minimum for the next few cycles.
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PSOL
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« Reply #17 on: October 24, 2021, 11:09:01 AM »

Why? There’s been a proliferation of pessimism on both of the parties with many people despising them both. I don’t see how the fact that, COVID taking its cost notwithstanding, there’s been an uptick of third party and non-electoral organizations membership in these past few years lead to anything but a rise in votes.
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progressive85
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« Reply #18 on: October 24, 2021, 12:39:14 PM »

Worse than Roseanne Barr did when she was a pot smoking liberal - before her conversion to Cheeto-worshipping has-been.
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Fuzzy Bear Loves Christian Missionaries
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« Reply #19 on: October 26, 2021, 07:56:12 PM »

Why? There’s been a proliferation of pessimism on both of the parties with many people despising them both. I don’t see how the fact that, COVID taking its cost notwithstanding, there’s been an uptick of third party and non-electoral organizations membership in these past few years lead to anything but a rise in votes.

The "why" is simple:  The US is highly polarized, politically, and its elections are a winner-take-all matter.  Not only are they winner-take-all; there are no runoffs that allow someone to vote Libertarian or Independent or Constitution Party or Green Party; the establishment I can tolerate is better than the establishment I view as an existential threat.
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