Which of the following are "hackish" statements?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Not that all of these have been specifically said here, but the word is being thrown around a lot, so I'm curious as to what type of predictions people consider so:

1-Casey has it in the bag
2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win
3-Mark Kennedy is toast
4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite
5-Bill Nelson will break 60%
6-Maria Cantwell is a lock
7-Mfume is favored to win the primary
8-Webb has no chance

[Keystone Phil]

1-Casey has it in the bag - Yes
2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win - Yes
3-Mark Kennedy is toast - No
4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite - Yes
5-Bill Nelson will break 60% - Eh...no
6-Maria Cantwell is a lock - Eh...no
7-Mfume is favored to win the primary - No
8-Webb has no chance - No

I personally disagree with statements 1-7 and agree with statement 8.

[Deano963]

1-Casey has it in the bag - not hackish (not a single analyst I respect sees how Santorum can get to 50% and neither do I)

2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win - extremely hackish

3-Mark Kennedy is toast - almost as hackish

4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite - extremely hackish (especailly given the article I read today that shows that most people think he is his father, and as they learn otherwise his support drops like a rock)

5-Bill Nelson will break 60% - not hackish at all, Nelson has already broken 60% in at least 4 polls, with at least 15% still undecided.

6-Maria Cantwell is a lock - hackish, she is not safe by any means, even though McGavick is now imploding.

7-Mfume is favored to win the primary - not quite hackish, but def a bit of a stretch (given he has a 50/50 chance depending on which polls you believe)

8-Webb has no chance - hackish

[minionofmidas]

1-Casey has it in the bag - Yes.
2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win - No, that's delusional.
3-Mark Kennedy is toast - Yes.
4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite - No, that's delusional.
5-Bill Nelson will break 60% - No, that's quite likely.
6-Maria Cantwell is a lock - No, although it's somewhat overconfident.
7-Mfume is favored to win the primary - No, although it's somewhat overconfident.
8-Webb has no chance - No, that's delusional.

[DownWithTheLeft]

1. Casey has it in the bag YES
Bob Casey is an awful campaigner, Rick Santorum is a great one.  Bob Casey had a 20 point lead, now it is less than 10.  Rick Santorum has the experince of coming from behind, Bob Casey does not.  This race is a tossup to ever so slightly leaning Dem that will turn ever so slightly leaning Republican by November 7.

2. Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win YES
This is a delusional statement that I would lose respect for someone if they made

3. Mark Kennedy is toast YES
Katherine Harris is toast, Mark Kennedy has a shot, not a good shot, but a shot

4. Kean is the overwhelming favorite YES
If Tom Kean the favorite? YES Will he most likely win come Election Day? YES Is Bob Menendez now being federally investigated? YES Is Tom Kean the overwhelming favorite? NO

5. Bill Nelson will break 60% NO
70 is borderline hackish

6. Maria Cantwell is a lock YES
This is a naive statement, I hope the Democrats believe this one, because then McGavick will sneak up and steal it from her, but she stilll is the favorite.

7. Mfume is favored to the primary NO
It is not hackish to say Cardin is favored to win the primary either.  It is pretty neck and neck, so polls give it to one, another to the other, it is really a tossup right now.  Personally, I'd love to see Mfume

8. Webb has no chance YES
Webb has little chance is not hackish, but he has about the same chance as Mark Bouchard, which is quite little.

[Mike in Maryland]

Casey has it in the bag--hackish, but so is the contention that Santorum is a near-certain winner (so far as I know he hasn't polled significantly over 40%.)

It's hackish to call Mark Kennedy toast, but the idea that he's a heavy favorite is even worse (absurd.)

Kean an overwhelming favorite--hackish.  So is claiming Menendez has that one in the bag.

Bill Nelson breaking 60%?  No, since Katherine Harris can't seem to put her shoes on without putting her foot in her mouth.

Maria Cantwell a lock--hackish.  She is a favorite, as I see it, but beware of overconfidence.

Mfume favored to win the primary--strained, but not totally indefensible.  Depends on which poll you believe, but I think the more reliable ones have Cardin ahead.  Averaging the conflicting primary polls together produces a Cardin lead, but strong base turnout for Mfume and weak base turnout for Cardin could produce an upset.

Webb having no chance--hackish, but some Dems are erring in the other direction and overstating his chances.

[Jake]

1-Casey has it in the bag
2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win
3-Mark Kennedy is toast
4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite
5-Bill Nelson will break 60%
6-Maria Cantwell is a lock
7-Mfume is favored to win the primary
8-Webb has no chance

5, and maybe 7, is the only one not hackish.

[Soaring Eagle]

2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win
4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite
6-Maria Cantwell is a lock
7-Mfume is favored to win the primary
8-Webb has no chance

All these are hackish statements. The others are realistic.

[Eraserhead]

1-Casey has it in the bag- Pushing it but no.
2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win- Yes.
3-Mark Kennedy is toast -No.
4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite- Yes.
5-Bill Nelson will break 60%- Not at all.
6-Maria Cantwell is a lock- Yes kind of.
7-Mfume is favored to win the primary- Not really even though its incorrect.
8-Webb has no chance- Hell yes.

[Nym90]

1-Casey has it in the bag-Yes, although he is likely to win, saying this race is over is indeed hackish.
2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win--Most definitely, as quite the opposite is true.
3-Mark Kennedy is toast--Slightly so, but it's starting to get close to being accurate.
4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite--Yes, the race is a toss up. He is not favored much less overwhelmingly so.
5-Bill Nelson will break 60%--Not at all, he likely will in fact.
6-Maria Cantwell is a lock--Yes, although she's favored, but certainly not a lock.
7-Mfume is favored to win the primary--Yes, I don't see him as being favored.
8-Webb has no chance--Yes, he definitely has a chance, though he's the underdog.

[jacob_101]

"Hackish" to me only means a statement that is unrealistic and unsubstantiated...like option 4.  The others could have been true at the time they were said, but not anymore.

[MarkWarner08]

1-Casey has it in the bag: Hackish
2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win: Hackish
3-Mark Kennedy is toast: Hackish
4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite: Hackish
5-Bill Nelson will break 60%: Not Hackish
6-Maria Cantwell is a lock: Hackish
7-Mfume is favored to win the primary: Hackish
8-Webb has no chance: Hackish

[DownWithTheLeft]

"Hackish" to me only means a statement that is unrealistic and unsubstantiated...like option 4.  The others could have been true at the time they were said, but not anymore.

Kennedy a better chance than Kean?  I don't think so, 1 and 2 and then the Cantwell one and then 4 are the hackish order.

[jacob_101]

"Hackish" to me only means a statement that is unrealistic and unsubstantiated...like option 4.  The others could have been true at the time they were said, but not anymore.

Kennedy a better chance than Kean?  I don't think so, 1 and 2 and then the Cantwell one and then 4 are the hackish order.

Yep I should of said 2 and 4.  Hope omissions don't make me "hackish". 

[Rob]

1-Casey has it in the bag: Very hackish. He's a poor campaigner and Santorum has a history of closing well, as Phil will tell you. I still see him winning; it's just not "in the bag", not by a long shot.

2-Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win: That's insane.

3-Mark Kennedy is toast: Borderline hackish, although it's been trending that way.

4-Kean is the overwhelming favorite: Only a true hack would say that. It might be a tossup, but an "overwhelming" GOP favorite? Not on this planet.

5-Bill Nelson will break 60%: Not really. I see him either breaking 60 percent or falling just short.

6-Maria Cantwell is a lock: Slightly hackish. McGavick's implosion has lended credence to this point of view, but he still has a chance of turning it around.

7-Mfume is favored to win the primary: Fairly hackish. If anything it's probably a pure toss-up at this point.

8-Webb has no chance: Somewhat hackish. Clearly, his chances of winning aren't great, but it's hyperbolic to say he has "no chance" at all.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

2. Mark Kennedy is heavily favored to win YES
This is a delusional statement that I would lose respect for someone if they made

I doubt WalterMitty cares, but at least you'll admit this.