If Alaska was a swing state, would Presidential candidates even try to campaign there?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

It seems like an awful lot of work and effort for just 3 EVs so I dunno. I imagine there might be like a token Anchorage rally every election but would it even be worth it to try to reach the rest of the state?

[If my soul was made of stone]

I could see a GOP candidate rallying in Mat-Su since it's pretty natural turf for them and it would doom them in the state if it saw significant slippage (it provided well over half of Trump's statewide margin in 2020).

[CookieDamage]

No

[Roll Roons]

Presidential candidates? No way. As you've said, it's just so remote and is only worth 3 electoral votes.

But I have heard it described as a possible way to help Democrats fix their Senate problem. The state has been trending left and Trump only won it by 36K - not a huge deficit to make up. So in that sense, it could be a good investment.

[Skill and Chance]

Yes.  There was campaigning in Hawaii in 2004 after all.

[Vosem]

Probably a little. How much do general-election presidential candidates campaign in New Hampshire? It's also a tiny swing state which is sort of out of the way.

[NOVA Green]

Yes.  There was campaigning in Hawaii in 2004 after all.

Unlikely a GE-PRES candidate would show up in AK unless it was a real nail biter, but def worth the investment especially in radio and TV ads since Alaska has been trending hard DEM in recent years...

Might be good optics for something like fishing, forestry, etc... as a backdrop but pretty expensive state to travel to in a GE with narrow clock time with so many other fish to fry and really weak ability to accurately poll in....

[Skill and Chance]

Probably a little. How much do general-election presidential candidates campaign in New Hampshire? It's also a tiny swing state which is sort of out of the way.

Not sure NH is a fair comparison to AK when 1. ME-02 and ME-AL are also contested and 2. It's not that far from PA

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

We will probably find out about a decade from now.

[Padfoot]

What hypothetical 2028 electoral map would make Alaska the tipping point state?

[Skill and Chance]

What hypothetical 2028 electoral map would make Alaska the tipping point state?

Here's a plausible one assuming continued education polarization



Here's another version in a GOP is winning the Hispanic vote outright scenario:

[Gass3268]

The Presidential nominees no, the Vice Presidential nominees yes.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Nixon famously campaigned in Alaska two days before the election in 1960 in order to fulfill a pledge to campaign in all 50 states.

In one sense, this was very effective: Nixon won Alaska in what at the time was considered an upset.

But he was also heavily criticized for not making more efficient use of the last week of the campaign in what was a very close national election.

[Ferguson97]

What hypothetical 2028 electoral map would make Alaska the tipping point state?

Here's a plausible one assuming continued education polarization

The election coverage for this would be so funny. Everyone goes to bed assuming Trump won again, and then Joe just wins Alaska at the last minute.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

What hypothetical 2028 electoral map would make Alaska the tipping point state?

Here's a plausible one assuming continued education polarization

The election coverage for this would be so funny. Everyone goes to bed assuming Trump won again, and then Joe just wins Alaska at the last minute.

Alaska doesn't count a bunch of its ballots until more than a week after election day. So we wouldn't even know who won until that starts.
And here you thought that the 2020 election being unclear for quite some time after the election was bad? Hahahaha...

[Ferguson97]

What hypothetical 2028 electoral map would make Alaska the tipping point state?

Here's a plausible one assuming continued education polarization

The election coverage for this would be so funny. Everyone goes to bed assuming Trump won again, and then Joe just wins Alaska at the last minute.

Alaska doesn't count a bunch of its ballots until more than a week after election day. So we wouldn't even know who won until that starts.
And here you thought that the 2020 election being unclear for quite some time after the election was bad? Hahahaha...

Waiting for the Fox News coverage that Democrats flew a bunch of Mexicans to Anchorage.

[NOVA Green]

What hypothetical 2028 electoral map would make Alaska the tipping point state?

Here's a plausible one assuming continued education polarization

The election coverage for this would be so funny. Everyone goes to bed assuming Trump won again, and then Joe just wins Alaska at the last minute.

Alaska doesn't count a bunch of its ballots until more than a week after election day. So we wouldn't even know who won until that starts.
And here you thought that the 2020 election being unclear for quite some time after the election was bad? Hahahaha...

Well tbf the 2000 Presidential Election makes the 2020 GE-PE a poor unwelcome "red headed step-child" scenario.   

Not bagging on the "gingers" at all.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

What hypothetical 2028 electoral map would make Alaska the tipping point state?

Here's a plausible one assuming continued education polarization

The election coverage for this would be so funny. Everyone goes to bed assuming Trump won again, and then Joe just wins Alaska at the last minute.

Alaska doesn't count a bunch of its ballots until more than a week after election day. So we wouldn't even know who won until that starts.
And here you thought that the 2020 election being unclear for quite some time after the election was bad? Hahahaha...

Well tbf the 2000 Presidential Election makes the 2020 GE-PE a poor unwelcome "red headed step-child" scenario.   

Not bagging on the "gingers" at all.

True, 2000 makes the 2020 election aftermath look quite brief by comparison.

[NOVA Green]

What hypothetical 2028 electoral map would make Alaska the tipping point state?

Here's a plausible one assuming continued education polarization

The election coverage for this would be so funny. Everyone goes to bed assuming Trump won again, and then Joe just wins Alaska at the last minute.

Alaska doesn't count a bunch of its ballots until more than a week after election day. So we wouldn't even know who won until that starts.
And here you thought that the 2020 election being unclear for quite some time after the election was bad? Hahahaha...

Well tbf the 2000 Presidential Election makes the 2020 GE-PE a poor unwelcome "red headed step-child" scenario.   

Not bagging on the "gingers" at all.

True, 2000 makes the 2020 election aftermath look quite brief by comparison.

Just recommended your post, but almost tempted to remove your recommendation....

January 6, 2021 perhaps even much more dangerous than the suspense of the 2000 GE-PRES election where basically the PUB Supreme Court threw the election to Bush Jr. even after an orchestrated political mob attacking the election HQ of Miami-Dade County caused Gore to likely lose 1-2k votes alone....

Your original instinct might well have been better than mine on this