Swing District Gerrymandering
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  Swing District Gerrymandering
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Author Topic: Swing District Gerrymandering  (Read 277 times)
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
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« on: February 21, 2021, 02:12:57 PM »
« edited: February 21, 2021, 05:12:41 PM by leecannon_ »

So I was bored and tried to make a map with as many swing districts as possible. I did a map for PA as it's a pretty easy swing map to make

Here's the districts
https://davesredistricting.org/join/ca70aeea-4f12-4e58-8f0f-d9fb726ce149


2016 Presidential Results



2018 Governor

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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #1 on: February 21, 2021, 02:42:13 PM »

This reminds me of something Adam Griffin did, called the Competitive States of America, a project designed to have as many competitive districts as possible.
Is it possible to have 6 swing districts in South Carolina? (of course ignoring the VRA)
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: February 21, 2021, 04:00:07 PM »

This reminds me of something Adam Griffin did, called the Competitive States of America, a project designed to have as many competitive districts as possible.
Is it possible to have 6 swing districts in South Carolina? (of course ignoring the VRA)

How South Carolina works is basically you have the low state which if it were on its own, would be the most competitive swing state in the southeast. That’s we’re about 4 seats are and you can easily draw these four to be hyper competitive. Then there’s the upstate which were it to be its own state, would likely be the most conservative in the southeast. Potentially America. It’s damn near impossible to get a democratic seat in it. It takes extraordinary gerrymandering (I’ve done it, it’s horrible)
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #3 on: February 21, 2021, 04:01:39 PM »

This reminds me of something Adam Griffin did, called the Competitive States of America, a project designed to have as many competitive districts as possible.
Is it possible to have 6 swing districts in South Carolina? (of course ignoring the VRA)

How South Carolina works is basically you have the low state which if it were on its own, would be the most competitive swing state in the southeast. That’s we’re about 4 seats are and you can easily draw these four to be hyper competitive. Then there’s the upstate which were it to be its own state, would likely be the most conservative in the southeast. Potentially America. It’s damn near impossible to get a democratic seat in it. It takes extraordinary gerrymandering (I’ve done it, it’s horrible)
I was thinking that you could uber-pack one district in the northern hills and then draw six districts not safe for either party.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,214
United States


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E: -6.45, S: -6.78

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« Reply #4 on: February 21, 2021, 04:38:44 PM »

This reminds me of something Adam Griffin did, called the Competitive States of America, a project designed to have as many competitive districts as possible.
Is it possible to have 6 swing districts in South Carolina? (of course ignoring the VRA)

How South Carolina works is basically you have the low state which if it were on its own, would be the most competitive swing state in the southeast. That’s we’re about 4 seats are and you can easily draw these four to be hyper competitive. Then there’s the upstate which were it to be its own state, would likely be the most conservative in the southeast. Potentially America. It’s damn near impossible to get a democratic seat in it. It takes extraordinary gerrymandering (I’ve done it, it’s horrible)
I was thinking that you could uber-pack one district in the northern hills and then draw six districts not safe for either party.

You underestimate how republican some pockets of South Carolina are and how inelastic the voters are. Without the lowlands it'd be worse then Alabama

https://davesredistricting.org/join/0302372e-92c6-4170-832c-2d179496eda9
The Districts


2016 Presidential


2018 Gubernatorial


It's really interesting comparing this map to PA where you had districts swing from Trump +5/10 to Wolf +20 whereas here the most extreme went from Clinton +4 to Smith +10, and that by far is the outlier.

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muon2
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« Reply #5 on: February 21, 2021, 11:09:37 PM »

Competitiveness was one of the four components of the scoring in the Ohio Redistricting Competition in 2011. The winning congressional plan scored well in compactness, minimized splits, produced an even partisan split, and 11 of the 16 districts were rated as highly competitive.



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