Pro-Trump rally on ROC
https://youtu.be/dj7yRPPQk8c
Mostly organized by Falun gung. I might be opposed to Falun gung across the board but at least are on the same page as being pro-Trump.
Oct 24 2020 video by a US expat in Taiwan who makes videos in Taiwanese Hokkien. Judging from this guy's decision to base his video on
a prediction made on March 2nd (among other things), I can see why he decided not to add subtitles.
Since the party primary system began in 1912, the "Primary Model" for predicting US presidential election outcomes has been correct 25 out of 27 times. It was one of the only models to correctly predict the 2016 results, nearly 8 months before the election. In this video I explain my prediction for the 2020 election, based mainly on this model.
http://primarymodel.com/I think the general reasoning behind this guy's prediction was correct, even though the Primary Model forecast he cited was completely off. @xingkerui @MoreThanPolitics @ηєω ƒяσηтιєя @2020-doomers
A friend who's good at translation provided me with a summary of the main points for anyone else who is learning Taiwanese but can't understand enough.
He starts off by mentioning that the media in the US is biased toward one candidate (same as Taiwan) depending on what channel you watch.
He predicts that the result will be similar to the last election and that Trump will be re-elected. The key is voter turn out.
He doesn't like either of the parties because he doesn't trust governments overall. He voted for Trump and will vote for him again because Trump is not a "politician" (though he admits to not liking Trump), but the GOP/Trump is doing better standing up to China. He sees the election not so much as Trump vs. Biden but whether there are more people who like Trump or more people who hate Trump.
One interesting thing he mentions is that there isn't strong support for Biden even among Democrats (as shown in the primaries) compared to Trump among Republicans.
The perception is that Biden is a career politician who hasn't done much in the past few decades of his career.
A PERFECT STORM
The PRIMARY MODEL gave Donald Trump a 91% chance of winning the 2020 presidential election, with Democrat Joe Biden having just a 9% chance. Trump was predicted to get 362 electoral votes, Biden 176. This forecast, first posted March 2, 2020, on Twitter, was unconditional and final; hence not subject to any updating. Contrary to the forecast, Joe Biden was elected president with 306 electoral votes to 232 for Donald Trump. What went wrong?
