Could he be the next Daschle?

[Keystone Phil]

John Murtha getting a bit too extreme for his district? - http://www.humaneventsonline.com/article.php?id=15820&o=ENPR003


I'll say that it is very unlikely but weird things happen...

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

He's not in a 60+% for Bush district, nor does he have a top tier candidate who previously lost only by 500 votes.

[Smash255]

No

[Nym90]

No way. As Sam Spade has mentioned, even in a good Republican year Murtha's defeat would be highly unlikely. In a good Democratic year it is pretty much impossible.

Yes, his district is open to the possibility of electing a Republican, but Murtha has tremendous name recognigtion and money and his opponent has neither. Plus, I see no evidence that his popularity rating has dropped significantly among his constituents.

As has been mentioned by BRTD, Daschle was a completely different situation. He had a strong opponent, was in a very Republican state, and running in a good year for Republicans nationally. Murtha has none of these factors against him. Considering all of these things, Daschle actually did pretty well to only lose by as narrow a margin as he did; he got a lot of crossover Bush voters, just not quite enough to win.

[Galactic Overlord]

I think at best Murtha's winning percentage will drop from its usual height, but not enough to defeat him.

[adam]

It's unlikely, but we can hope.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

No, despite the wishes of the insane warmongers on this board, Murtha will be re-elected.