How plausible is the following scenario?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

How likely is it that Georgia turns Democrat, while Florida remains Republican?
Discuss with maps!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely scenario is IA becomes new bellweather over OH and votes for Joe Biden over Trump

[Frenchrepublican]

This scenario is clearly possible but only after 2025. It’s pretty easy to imagine how it could happen, on the one hand black voters from Detroit continue to move to Atlanta and black voters represent 35% of the GA electorate by the second half of the next decade, on the other hand white college educated voters don’t trend back to the right after Trump leave the White House, thus GA becomes a lean D state. Florida on the other hand becomes more republican as baby boomers continue to move to this state, so by 2025 FL is Lean R while GA is Lean D

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Likely scenario is IA becomes new bellweather over OH and votes for Joe Biden over Trump

If Ohio and Florida lose their bellwether status, it's indeed Iowa that will become the bellwether benchmark.

[Epaminondas]

Likely scenario is IA becomes new bellweather over OH and votes for Joe Biden over Trump

If Ohio and Florida lose their bellwether status, it's indeed Iowa that will become the bellwether benchmark.

At least that would justify its outrageous advantage during primaries.

[Nightcore Nationalist]

This scenario is clearly possible but only after 2025. It’s pretty easy to imagine how it could happen, on the one hand black voters from Detroit continue to move to Atlanta and black voters represent 35% of the GA electorate by the second half of the next decade, on the other hand white college educated voters don’t trend back to the right after Trump leave the White House, thus GA becomes a lean D state. Florida on the other hand becomes more republican as baby boomers continue to move to this state, so by 2025 FL is Lean R while GA is Lean D

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

Likely scenario is IA becomes new bellwether over OH and votes for Joe Biden over Trump

If Ohio and Florida lose their bellwether status, it's indeed Iowa that will become the bellwether benchmark.

At least that would justify its outrageous advantage during primaries.

The question in this case is: Which is the hen, and which is the egg?
Or: Did you put the bridle on the horse from the wrong side?

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

I WILL NOW ACCEPT MY ACCOLADES!!!

[Frenchrepublican]

This scenario is clearly possible but only after 2025. It’s pretty easy to imagine how it could happen, on the one hand black voters from Detroit continue to move to Atlanta and black voters represent 35% of the GA electorate by the second half of the next decade, on the other hand white college educated voters don’t trend back to the right after Trump leave the White House, thus GA becomes a lean D state. Florida on the other hand becomes more republican as baby boomers continue to move to this state, so by 2025 FL is Lean R while GA is Lean D

It seems I'm a slow reacting person.
I didn't expect Atlanta exurbs like Forsyth to swing left so fast.