More likely win: Jones or James?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 28, 2024, 03:53:51 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  More likely win: Jones or James?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ^
#1
Doug Jones		  
#2
John James		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 93

Author Topic: More likely win: Jones or James?  (Read 802 times)
Statilius the Epicurean
Thersites
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,614
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 18, 2020, 06:06:57 PM »
Both recipients of shock +1 polls this week!
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,856
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2020, 06:08:42 PM »
Fine, you finally got me: James!
Logged
GALeftist
sansymcsansface
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,741


Political Matrix
E: -7.29, S: -9.48

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2020, 06:11:44 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2020, 07:57:22 PM by Abolish class »
I want it to be Jones so badly, but Trump won MI in 2016 and Clinton couldn't even clear 35% in AL. James.
Logged
SnowLabrador
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,025
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2020, 07:26:56 PM »
James and it's not even close. In fact, I think James will win.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,950


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2020, 08:00:42 PM »
James easily, though both are underdogs, but James actually has a pretty realistic chance
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,395
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2020, 10:09:01 PM »
Scott Brown or Richard Carmona for 2012.

There's your answer.
Logged
Common Sense Atlantan
Rookie
**
Posts: 66
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2020, 10:09:48 PM »
James. Polls often overestimate incumbents.
Logged
Big Abraham
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,067
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2020, 10:44:04 PM »
Jones. If it couldn't happen with Stabenow, it's not happening with Peters
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 89,840
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2020, 12:14:35 AM »
Jones, James is an R retread and last R retread in a competitive state was Tommy Thompson. Fred Thompson ran for Prez he didn't make. Romney isn't beloved by liberals, he went bankrupt during Bain Capital and they made a movie about Bane, called Dark Knight rises😭😭😭
Logged
Statilius the Epicurean
Thersites
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,614
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2020, 12:21:24 AM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on October 19, 2020, 12:14:35 AM
Jones, James is an R retread and last R retread in a competitive state was Tommy Thompson. Fred Thompson ran for Prez he didn't make. Romney isn't beloved by liberals, he went bankrupt during Bain Capital and they made a movie about Bane, called Dark Knight rises😭😭😭

Awful film. I agree.
Logged
SevenEleven
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,603


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2020, 03:01:58 AM »
Doug Jones. D wave is happening, so it's only a matter of how far it reaches. James doesn't stand a chance.
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,155


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2020, 03:40:02 AM »
Michigan-Trump +0%. Alabama-Trump +28%. Let's now say that both uniformly shift 8 points to the left, so Michigan-Biden +8%, Alabama-Trump +20%. James still has a much smaller gap to make up. Even if Michigan trends to the left a bit, it's still a big gap, and I think Alabama will have a smaller swing to the left than nationwide anyway.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,776
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2020, 03:45:20 AM »
James
Logged
Zarrius
Newbie
*
Posts: 5


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2020, 04:43:39 AM »
 Has to be James. Despite that outlier poll, I think an 8% defeat will be the ceiling in Alabama (though I do hope Jones pulls out a miracle and beats Tuberville!), while I can easily see James scraping a skin-of-the-teeth <1% margin win in Michigan.
Logged
Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,998


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2020, 01:31:02 PM »
James. Michigan is notoriously hard to poll, while Alabama is spectacularly inelastic unless the nominee is a pedophile dominionist - and even there Jones' victory had more to do with Republicans staying home than flipping. That won't happen in a Presidential year.

James = 15% chance of victory.

Jones = 5% chance of victory.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,421
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2020, 01:37:07 PM »
Logged
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,677
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2020, 01:51:01 PM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on October 19, 2020, 12:14:35 AM
Jones, James is an R retread and last R retread in a competitive state was Tommy Thompson. Fred Thompson ran for Prez he didn't make. Romney isn't beloved by liberals, he went bankrupt during Bain Capital and they made a movie about Bane, called Dark Knight rises😭😭😭
Lmao
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,698


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2020, 08:06:30 PM »
James, and it's not even close, unfortunately.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2020, 08:13:55 PM »
James at least has a chance.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 06, 2020, 03:50:59 PM »
LOL at anyone who voted Jones
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.237 seconds with 14 queries.