IA - Insider Advantage/Center For American Greatness (R): Trump +2
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Author Topic: IA - Insider Advantage/Center For American Greatness (R): Trump +2  (Read 822 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 01, 2020, 10:07:36 AM »
Oct 30, 400 LV, MoE: 4.9%

Trump 48%
Biden 46%
Jorgensen 1%
Undecided 6%

SEN: 51-45 Ernst

https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/10/IOWA-POLL-102020.pdf
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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2020, 10:08:26 AM »
If a firm called the Center for American Greatness is only showing Trump up 2 in Iowa, then something seems even more off about that Selzer poll.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2020, 10:08:50 AM »
Even the Hannity poll has Biden above 45%.
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redjohn
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« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 10:14:26 AM »
The Selzer poll was pretty clearly an outlier. The race nationally (and in states) hasn't shifted much if at all.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2020, 10:15:12 AM »
Oh well Ernst wins
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2020, 10:17:16 AM »
I have no problem with this but the senate numbers are laughable. No other poll has shown Ernst overperforming Trump, not even Selzer.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2020, 10:23:24 AM »

Even OC has given up on Greenfield.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #7 on: November 01, 2020, 10:23:31 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on November 01, 2020, 10:17:16 AM
I have no problem with this but the senate numbers are laughable. No other poll has shown Ernst overperforming Trump, not even Selzer.

This poll has Ernst winning voters under 45 by 20, and WINNING Black voters...

So...
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forza nocta
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« Reply #8 on: November 01, 2020, 10:29:24 AM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on November 01, 2020, 10:23:31 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on November 01, 2020, 10:17:16 AM
I have no problem with this but the senate numbers are laughable. No other poll has shown Ernst overperforming Trump, not even Selzer.

This poll has Ernst winning voters under 45 by 20, and WINNING Black voters...

So...

To be fair to the Hannity poll, theres probably like 50 black people in Iowa total, so the sample size is kinda small
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2020, 10:31:55 AM »
Interesting.  No support for Selzer from an explicitly pro-Trump pollster.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #10 on: November 01, 2020, 10:33:56 AM »
Do you really know what is laughable? That its site has any credibility at all!
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #11 on: November 01, 2020, 10:47:33 AM »
Changes with Oct 18-19

Quote from: VARepublican on November 01, 2020, 10:07:36 AM
Oct 30, 400 LV, MoE: 4.9%

Trump 48% (+3)
Biden 46% (+1)
Jorgensen 1% (-2)
Undecided 6% (-2)

SEN: 51-45 Ernst

https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/10/IOWA-POLL-102020.pdf
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Kuumo
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« Reply #12 on: November 01, 2020, 11:52:21 AM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on November 01, 2020, 10:33:56 AM
Do you really know what is laughable? That its site has any credibility at all!

The funniest thing is that Trump’s Insider AdvantageTM was +3 in Pennsylvania but is only +2 in Iowa. Maybe they felt like they didn’t have to fudge the numbers as much in Iowa since there are already pollsters showing Trump leading there.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #13 on: November 01, 2020, 12:00:37 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on November 01, 2020, 10:31:55 AM
Interesting.  No support for Selzer from an explicitly pro-Trump pollster.
Insider Advantage isn't a explicitly pro trump pollster..
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