Susquehanna Polling and Research excludes new voters
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  Susquehanna Polling and Research excludes new voters
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Author Topic: Susquehanna Polling and Research excludes new voters  (Read 476 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 27, 2020, 08:09:12 PM »


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Horus
Sheliak5
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2020, 08:11:40 PM »

If true 538 should remove them from the averages.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2020, 08:12:38 PM »

And suddenly everything makes sense.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2020, 08:12:58 PM »

If true 538 should remove them from the averages.

It says it in their methodology.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2020, 08:14:31 PM »

And yet SAD and PATHETIC RCP will keep them in the average cause lil Sean Trende is a sad and pathetic HATER! (Enemy of the people?)
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Ljube
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2020, 08:17:59 PM »

Yes, I've just read that section and it says:

Only registered voters are contacted with prior vote history in one or better elections using 2018, 2016, 2014 and/or 2012 elections.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2020, 08:23:56 PM »

Between this and Nate's graph showing the lack of movement in post-debate polls, all this talk about a recent "tightening" seem to be deflating quickly today
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2020, 08:24:30 PM »

Susquehanna is nonsense! Really? WOW. Shocked! Dismayed! Unbelievable!
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ExSky
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2020, 09:16:19 PM »

Blue avatars and doomers  gonna Completely ignore this.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2020, 09:17:43 PM »

If true 538 should remove them from the averages.

This is just crappy methodology, not necessarily bad faith methodology.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2020, 09:24:09 PM »

If true 538 should remove them from the averages.

This is just crappy methodology, not necessarily bad faith methodology.

Perhaps. But if you wanted to design a methodology that might be plausible on its face but skewed R, this would be a good one.
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NYSforKennedy2024
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2020, 09:25:59 PM »

Why is it EVERY polling firm that gets busted for having shady methodology has oddly pro-GOP results or blatant connections to the GOP?

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