NC-09 - Left of Center PAC (D): Biden +11

[VAR]

Biden 53%
Trump 42%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201006_NC_Wick.pdf

[Orwell]

This might be ok for Biden

[ON Progressive]

LOL this is hot garbage, as much as I want it to be true.

[Woody]

This shows why polls are for the most part BS.

[redjohn]

This shows why polls are for the most part BS.

Only when they show Biden doing well, according to you.

[Bootes Void]

This might be ok for Biden

How did it vote in 2016?

[Gracile]

This might be ok for Biden

How did it vote in 2016?

Trump won it 53.7-43.3.

[Person Man]

This is the won where Republicans were caught cheating, re-did the election, and won anyways.

[Sir Mohamed]

This might be ok for Biden

How did it vote in 2016?

Trump won it 53.7-43.3.

Yup, but was this the exact same district? Wasn't there a court ruling to force redistricting due to extreme gerrymandering?

Otherwise, it would be a massive swing, even if this internal is biased by a few pts.

[Gracile]

This might be ok for Biden

How did it vote in 2016?

Trump won it 53.7-43.3.

Yup, but was this the exactly same district? Wasn't there a court ruling to force redistricting due to extreme gerrymandering?

Otherwise, it would be an extreme swing, even if this internal is biased by a few pts.

I'm specifically referring to the lines that will be used in the 2020 election.

[Pollster]

Assuming this poll is of the new district lines, this is probably only a bit D-leaning.

This was 54/43 Trump, Josh Stein lost here by 8 points (54/46), and Biden is probably poised to make sizable gains in the portion of Mecklenburg in this district. Certainly feasible that Biden is leading here, though not necessarily by 11 points.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

September 30 - October 2
400 likely voters
MoE: 4.9%

Undecided 4%