OH-01 House Majority PAC (D): Biden (D) +1

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/kirk_bado/status/1303720995660931073

Joe Biden (D) 48%
Donald Trump (R-inc) 47%

Will post the full poll when I can find it.

[wbrocks67]

how much did Trump win here by?

[ExSky]

Trump 51-45

Romney 52-46

[Hope For A New Era]

Suburban Cincinnati still remaining stubbornly R, I see.

[kph14]

To be honest Biden +1 is not enough if he wants to compete statewide

[Pericles]

To be honest Biden +1 is not enough if he wants to compete statewide

Well, it is a 7 point swing so on a uniform swing it is a 1-point statewide Trump win. However if we assume that this district trends D, then Trump is probably winning by a margin like DeWine's.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

To be honest Biden +1 is not enough if he wants to compete statewide

Well, it is a 7 point swing so on a uniform swing it is a 1-point statewide Trump win. However if we assume that this district trends D, then Trump is probably winning by a margin like DeWine's.

I feel like that will happen in the end with Biden matching or exceeding his Texas polling to offset that

[Pericles]

To be honest Biden +1 is not enough if he wants to compete statewide

Well, it is a 7 point swing so on a uniform swing it is a 1-point statewide Trump win. However if we assume that this district trends D, then Trump is probably winning by a margin like DeWine's.

I feel like that will happen in the end with Biden matching or exceeding his Texas polling to offset that

Yes, I think a tie in Ohio and Iowa polls probably means Trump is actually up by Reynolds and DeWine margins. The swings in Texas could be crazy, if Biden underestimated by as much as Beto was a 3-4 point Biden win there is possible. That could be a shift of 12-13 points from 2016, and probably even greater in the competitive suburban districts.