Emerson Biden+4
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Author Topic: Emerson Biden+4  (Read 1102 times)
SaneDemocrat
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« on: July 31, 2020, 02:20:29 PM »
https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/july-national-poll-biden-maintains-lead-in-presidential-race-majority-support-nationwide-mask-mandate-in-public-spaces
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #1 on: July 31, 2020, 02:26:04 PM »
why is Emerson so terrible

'Trump leads Biden among those aged 50-64 (55% to 44%), those 65 or more (58% to 39%)"

LOL sure jan. Not to mention Trump's 45% approval.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #2 on: July 31, 2020, 02:29:22 PM »
Just what I thought a 3 to 5 pt race, not a 10 to 15 pt race, with RV not LV. Biden is favored but he isnt gonna sweep everything
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #3 on: July 31, 2020, 02:30:40 PM »
That would indicate a collapse, so I'm a bit skeptical.
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Person Man
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« Reply #4 on: July 31, 2020, 02:30:50 PM »
« Edited: July 31, 2020, 02:34:20 PM by Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More »
At least Biden's at 50. Emerson had it at +4 last month, too.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: July 31, 2020, 02:34:33 PM »
Biden polls were not gonna stay 10 to 15 pts forever.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #6 on: July 31, 2020, 02:36:31 PM »
Yes can we stop with the biden+14 nonsense
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #7 on: July 31, 2020, 02:37:12 PM »
Compare the polls internally.  Emerson had Biden +4 in June as well.  The difference is that the undecided vote has gone down to 4--meaning that voters are making up their minds early enough.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #8 on: July 31, 2020, 02:38:33 PM »
Is this RV or LV?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #9 on: July 31, 2020, 02:47:08 PM »
When the undecideds are pushed, Biden wins them 75%-25%, which moves the overall result to 53-47.  (You can see this by downloading the results spreadsheet.)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #10 on: July 31, 2020, 02:47:49 PM »

LV
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #11 on: July 31, 2020, 03:27:13 PM »
A close race.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: July 31, 2020, 03:42:07 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 31, 2020, 02:47:08 PM
When the undecideds are pushed, Biden wins them 75%-25%, which moves the overall result to 53-47.  (You can see this by downloading the results spreadsheet.)

second poll this week to show this
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #13 on: July 31, 2020, 03:48:52 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 31, 2020, 03:42:07 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 31, 2020, 02:47:08 PM
When the undecideds are pushed, Biden wins them 75%-25%, which moves the overall result to 53-47.  (You can see this by downloading the results spreadsheet.)

second poll this week to show this

Show that undecideds are ready for something new?
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YE
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« Reply #14 on: July 31, 2020, 04:36:15 PM »
Why are we taking Emerson seriously guys?
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VoterDoofus
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« Reply #15 on: July 31, 2020, 05:17:17 PM »
This poll is identical from last months poll.

+4 without leaners pushed, +6 with leaners pushed.

And let me just say, that it speaks volumes about Emerson that they only showed Trump down 4 points during one of his lowest polling moments. They are 60% landline, 40% paid Amazon surveys. They should be taken with a grain of salt. I dont care what 538 rates them.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #16 on: July 31, 2020, 05:20:03 PM »
Quote from: VoterDoofus on July 31, 2020, 05:17:17 PM
This poll is identical from last months poll.

+4 without leaners pushed, +6 with leaners pushed.

And let me just say, that it speaks volumes about Emerson that they only showed Trump down 4 points during one of his lowest polling moments. They are 60% landline, 40% paid Amazon surveys. They should be taken with a grain of salt. I dont care what 538 rates them.

↑ and Welcome!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: July 31, 2020, 05:58:18 PM »
The polls are gonna get closer as we get to Labor day and stop polling RV and doing LV screens
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #18 on: July 31, 2020, 06:17:41 PM »
Dr. Immanuel bump?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: July 31, 2020, 06:21:20 PM »

Rassy does tracking polls not approval rating polls like MSN flawed polling and Trump's polls always at 46 percent against Biden, which is the 278 EC map
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #20 on: July 31, 2020, 06:34:54 PM »
I didn't expect anything better from the only pollster that has shown Trump ahead in 2020.
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Badger
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« Reply #21 on: August 04, 2020, 04:09:45 PM »
Quote from: SaneDemocrat on July 31, 2020, 02:36:31 PM
Yes can we stop with the biden+14 nonsense

Averaging such an extreme with this poll at the Other Extreme would average out to Biden + 9, which sounds about right, though personally I expect the final result to be a tad closer.
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Badger
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« Reply #22 on: August 04, 2020, 05:41:11 PM »
Yeah, the big question is where Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin vote relative to the National vote totals. Pennsylvania had voted a point or two more democratic in the several elections previous to 2016 oh, and I have a hope they will revert to that Norm, but fear they still might boat only even or possibly even a point or two more Republican.

My guess is Wisconsin is likely to vote a percentage point or three to the right of the national average, while Michigan will do likewise to the left. That said, I spine is almost surely going to improve on Hillary's just over to percentage point TV advantage, and won't commit political malpractice By ignoring the Rust Belt states like she did, that still means he'll likely carry Wisconsin.
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