CNN Seats Most Likely to Flip

[Meatball Ron]

It's not Cillizza, but it's still laughable. WI and NC more likely to flip than AZ, NH, or NV? From their lips to God's ear - but unfortunately I don't think this is the actual state of affairs right now.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/03/politics/2022-senate-race-rankings/index.html

[KaiserDave]

Absurd list. Usual CNN garbage.

[VAR]

Georgia more likely to flip than AZ/NV/NH

ayy lmao

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not Cillizza, but it's still laughable. WI and NC more likely to flip than AZ, NH, or NV? From their lips to God's ear - but unfortunately I don't think this is the actual state of affairs right now.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/03/politics/2022-senate-race-rankings/index.html

My rankings were as follows in order of flips


47 NV
48 /AZ,
49/ NH
50 PA flip
51 WI flip
52 NC flip


They are absolutely correct we are in net loss seats if we lose NH, NV and AZ and PA and WI  and NC are 52 seats, GA is the 53rd seat, but 52 is all that matters due to bypass or Manchin and Sinema on Filibuster
53 GA Runoffs

[JoeInator]

*sees PA as the likeliest seat to flip*: OK this isn't too bad
*sees GA as the 2nd most likely seat to flip, ahead of NH, WI, and AZ*: um what?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If we lose PA just like Prez Election the Election is over that's why Fetterman is a better candidate than Keyenatta, Biden has roots in Scranton. But since Shapiro is gonna be Gov not Senator we are gonna win PA

That's why it's the 50th seat, not GA since GA is a Runoff

[Meatball Ron]

If we lose PA just like Prez Election the Election is over that's why Fetterman is a better candidate than Keyenatta, Biden has roots in Scranton. But since Shapiro is gonna be Gov not Senator we are gonna win PA

That's why it's the 50th seat, not GA since GA is a Runoff

What does Biden's roots in Scranton have to do with Kenyatta versus Fetterman? And what does Shapiro running for Governor have to do with us flipping this seat? And what does any of that have to do with Georgia? I'm totally lost

[beesley]

It's not Cillizza, but it's still laughable. WI and NC more likely to flip than AZ, NH, or NV? From their lips to God's ear - but unfortunately I don't think this is the actual state of affairs right now.

https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/03/politics/2022-senate-race-rankings/index.html


My rankings were as follows in order of flips


47 NV
48 /AZ,
49/ NH
50 PA flip
51 WI flip
52 NC flip


They are absolutely correct we are in net loss seats if we lose NH, NV and AZ and PA and WI  and NC are 52 seats, GA is the 53rd seat, but 52 is all that matters due to bypass or Manchin and Sinema on Filibuster
53 GA Runoffs

Very good ranking but I think GA is better for Dems than it suggests.

[Pericles]

This is a bit bold, but assuming the national environment shifts R by a few points.
1. Arizona
2. Pennsylvania
3. New Hampshire
4. Nevada
5. Georgia
6. Wisconsin
7. North Carolina
8. Florida (not flipping)
9. Colorado
10. Ohio

It was a tough call to make Georgia more vulnerable than Wisconsin though.

[Xing]

GA/NC more likely to flip than AZ? I'm not sure parody would be less accurate than this...

[Arizona Iced Tea]

I mostly agree with it but I would make Arizona #4, North Carolina #5, New Hampshire #6,  and Nevada #7 .

[Meatball Ron]

This is a bit bold, but assuming the national environment shifts R by a few points.
1. Arizona
2. Pennsylvania
3. New Hampshire
4. Nevada
5. Georgia
6. Wisconsin
7. North Carolina
8. Florida (not flipping)
9. Colorado
10. Ohio

It was a tough call to make Georgia more vulnerable than Wisconsin though.

I like this list. Would mayyyyybe swap Ohio and Florida, but really, this list should end at #7 because 8-10 are absolutely not happening

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Believe it or not not Tim Ryan has a better chance than D's defeating Rubio and DeSantis whom have 57% Approvals

Especially if Mandel is the Nominee, which he might

[MT Treasurer]

But with Burr not running for reelection, Democrats have a stronger chance of flipping his seat.

As in Ohio, Trump's win here affirmed a lot of people's thinking that Florida is a tough state for Democrats, although Republicans' margins here are smaller. But unlike in the Buckeye State, the GOP incumbent is sticking around.

This is a bit bold, but assuming the national environment shifts R by a few points.
1. Arizona
2. Pennsylvania
3. New Hampshire
4. Nevada
5. Georgia
6. Wisconsin
7. North Carolina
8. Florida (not flipping)
9. Colorado
10. Ohio

It was a tough call to make Georgia more vulnerable than Wisconsin though.

This is a solid list and pretty much identical to mine. You could make a case for swapping WI and NC (WI would be more likely to flip than NC if the election were held today, but I think it might be slightly less vulnerable by election day, although that’s indeed very debatable). You could also swap PA and NH/NV, but this far out, it’s a great list.

[😥]

My list would be like:
1. Pennsylvania
2. Arizona
3. Nevada
4. New Hampshire
5. North Carolina
6. Georgia
7. Wisconsin
8. Florida
9. Ohio
10. Colorado

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ron Johnson will lose because he blocked 1200 Stimulus when Rs were in the Majority and he is against the 1400 in a state like WI that ia recipe for defeat and pbower2A agrees.

But, users on this forum think he is safe and no he isn't

LoL WE WOULD WIN WI BEFORE E WIN NC, it's part of 278 wall NC is part of 306 track like GA, Evers is leading in WI and Johnson is at 35 percent Approvals

[ElectionsGuy]

These people continue to be astonishingly stupid and repeat their massive overestimations of Democrats year after year.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These people continue to be astonishingly stupid and repeat their massive overestimations of Democrats year after year.

We lost AK, TX, MT, IA and KS due to Green new Deal they are oil states and Biden stopped Keystone which goes thru MT, AK, KS, IA and TX. 52 seats is what matters due to wave insurance NC gives us 52 seats without GA, if it goes to a Runoff

With the exception of OH which is a coal state like WVA, the states of NC, which we won Gov in 2020, GA we don't know if Abrams is running for Gov, PA, WI, AZ, NV and NH aren't entrenched in oil

[Meatball Ron]

These people continue to be astonishingly stupid and repeat their massive overestimations of Democrats year after year.

We lost AK, TX, MT, IA and KS due to Green new Deal they are oil states and Biden stopped Keystone which goes thru MT, AK, KS, IA and TX.

There is literally 0 oil or gas production in Iowa

[Coolface Sock #42069]

I am inclined to agree with them when it comes to Arizona. The Arizona GOP is an insane organization with an insane primary electorate and an insane party chair. It’s hard to see them nominating a credible candidate.

[Roll Roons]

I am inclined to agree with them when it comes to Arizona. The Arizona GOP is an insane organization with an insane primary electorate and an insane party chair. It’s hard to see them nominating a credible candidate.

Of all the key battleground states, I feel like Arizona is the one where Republicans are most likely to blow it by nominating a Todd Akin type.

[Frenchrepublican]

NC and WI more likley to flip than NV/AZ ? I'm not sure about that

[2016]

These people continue to be astonishingly stupid and repeat their massive overestimations of Democrats year after year.

We lost AK, TX, MT, IA and KS due to Green new Deal they are oil states and Biden stopped Keystone which goes thru MT, AK, KS, IA and TX. 52 seats is what matters due to wave insurance NC gives us 52 seats without GA, if it goes to a Runoff

With the exception of OH which is a coal state like WVA, the states of NC, which we won Gov in 2020, GA we don't know if Abrams is running for Gov, PA, WI, AZ, NV and NH aren't entrenched in oil

The Senate DOESN'T MATTER if Democrats lose the House. If Democrats lose the House it's CHEKMATE my friend!

I am going on a limp and say Republicans will control at least one of the two Congressional Chambers after the 2022 Midterms.

[Pericles]

These people continue to be astonishingly stupid and repeat their massive overestimations of Democrats year after year.

We lost AK, TX, MT, IA and KS due to Green new Deal they are oil states and Biden stopped Keystone which goes thru MT, AK, KS, IA and TX. 52 seats is what matters due to wave insurance NC gives us 52 seats without GA, if it goes to a Runoff

With the exception of OH which is a coal state like WVA, the states of NC, which we won Gov in 2020, GA we don't know if Abrams is running for Gov, PA, WI, AZ, NV and NH aren't entrenched in oil

The Senate DOESN'T MATTER if Democrats lose the House. If Democrats lose the House it's CHEKMATE my friend!

I am going on a limp and say Republicans will control at least one of the two Congressional Chambers after the 2022 Midterms.

Republicans only needed the Senate to confirm Amy Coney Barrett, if a vacancy arises in 2023 or 2024 Republicans will need the Senate to stop confirmation.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

These people continue to be astonishingly stupid and repeat their massive overestimations of Democrats year after year.

We lost AK, TX, MT, IA and KS due to Green new Deal they are oil states and Biden stopped Keystone which goes thru MT, AK, KS, IA and TX. 52 seats is what matters due to wave insurance NC gives us 52 seats without GA, if it goes to a Runoff

With the exception of OH which is a coal state like WVA, the states of NC, which we won Gov in 2020, GA we don't know if Abrams is running for Gov, PA, WI, AZ, NV and NH aren't entrenched in oil

The Senate DOESN'T MATTER if Democrats lose the House. If Democrats lose the House it's CHEKMATE my friend!

I am going on a limp and say Republicans will control at least one of the two Congressional Chambers after the 2022 Midterms.

Cook and Sabato haven't put out their ratings yet on the House, until after Redistricting, the Rs are measuring the drapes too fast

Their WI ratings sux, they had Walker winning until 1 mnth before the Election and they switched it Evers. Just because they got Johnson wrong in 2016

Cook and Sabato put their ratings out on Senate and Gov, there isn't any Redistricting