Emily's List/PPP-GA-07: Biden +6

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1275798508407328768?s=20

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The article implies the MoE is at least 3% as Bordeaux's 3% lead is said to be within it.

[Lief 🗽]

This was Trump +6, so would represent a pretty big swing (and probably a statewide Biden win). Anyone know if Abrams won this seat?

[Gracile]

This was Trump +6, so would represent a pretty big swing (and probably a statewide Biden win). Anyone know if Abrams won this seat?

Abrams won it by around 1% IIRC.

EDIT: Abrams 50.03-48.64% apparently.

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1151661258405502976

[wbrocks67]

If Abrams won it by 1%, Biden up 6% would be big.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

[Holmes]

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

Titanium Suburb King Perdue is probably up 40 here.

[Adam Griffin]

I don't see Biden outrunning Bourdeaux given this district is basically ground zero for the state lurching leftward (and even if he is somehow ahead of her, not by more than a rounding error at best), so either Bourdeaux's ahead by high single-digits or Biden is up by like 2-3.

EDIT: Nevermind, I thought this was a presidential poll of GA (statewide) alongside a GA-07 congressional poll!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Battleground state GA

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

Titanium Suburb King Perdue is probably up 40 here.

God, he's so strong in the burbs. Trump could learn a thing or two from taking off his necktie every now and then and coaching little league baseball and having a wine cellar. Perdue understands these people.

[wbrocks67]

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

Is this a joke? Why would Perdue be up 20 here?

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

Is this a joke? Why would Perdue be up 20 here?

Perdue's reelection depending on his massive suburban base in no joke. He beat an actual Karen (Handel) in several suburbs in the 2014 Republican primary, and has only gotten stronger since his incumbency began.

[WD]

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

Titanium Suburb King Perdue is probably up 40 here.

God, he's so strong in the burbs. Trump could learn a thing or two from taking off his necktie every now and then and coaching little league baseball and having a wine cellar. Perdue understands these people.

Bruh what nonsense is this? He’s probably winning by atleast 55 points. His floor in the suburbs is 75-78%. Tbh he’ll probably crack 60% in Fulton county.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Perdue needed an R 2014 wave to beat Nunn, in a blue wave Perdue can lose. Carter and Nunn were competing until red wave hit in late Oct. GA will be competetive due to fact Dems picked up red districts in state in 18

[wbrocks67]

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

Is this a joke? Why would Perdue be up 20 here?

Perdue's reelection depending on his massive suburban base in no joke. He beat an actual Karen (Handel) in several suburbs in the 2014 Republican primary, and has only gotten stronger since his incumbency began.

Ossoff is beating him in the past couple polls. If anything, Ossoff is a way better fit for GA-07 than Perdue. You guys are trolling. 2014 is no 2020.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

Is this a joke? Why would Perdue be up 20 here?

Perdue's reelection depending on his massive suburban base in no joke. He beat an actual Karen (Handel) in several suburbs in the 2014 Republican primary, and has only gotten stronger since his incumbency began.

Ossoff is beating him in the past couple polls. If anything, Ossoff is a way better fit for GA-07 than Perdue. You guys are trolling. 2014 is no 2020.

Perdue's past performance in GA-07 is no joke, and he's only gotten more popular since then. His Gwinett GOTV gang is second to none, and he has close personal connections & fantastic constituent services to the growing Hispanic & Asian communities in Gwinnett. Ossoff is a young white guy who hasn't met as many voters as David. David's in general do really well among hispanics, as we've seen with David Valadao

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Sample size according to 538: 589 likely voters.

[wbrocks67]

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

Is this a joke? Why would Perdue be up 20 here?

Perdue's reelection depending on his massive suburban base in no joke. He beat an actual Karen (Handel) in several suburbs in the 2014 Republican primary, and has only gotten stronger since his incumbency began.

Ossoff is beating him in the past couple polls. If anything, Ossoff is a way better fit for GA-07 than Perdue. You guys are trolling. 2014 is no 2020.

Perdue's past performance in GA-07 is no joke, and he's only gotten more popular since then. His Gwinett GOTV gang is second to none, and he has close personal connections & fantastic constituent services to the growing Hispanic & Asian communities in Gwinnett. Ossoff is a young white guy who hasn't met as many voters as David. David's in general do really well among hispanics, as we've seen with David Valadao

K, I'm reporting you now. This is annoying.

[DrScholl]

The combined Republican vote in the primary was 43%. It's not hard to see Trump at 44%.

[QAnonKelly]

Hot damn.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Full poll: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1fBdx2lXYUY18rwjyFm9luVkWsqyBiyu8/view

Sampling period: June 22-23, 2020

[Calthrina950]

Titanium Suburb King Perdue is probably up 40 here.

Burb Stompin' Purdue will make the Atlanta Suburban Counties redder than WOW!

If this were the actual map, Perdue would probably be getting over 60% of the vote.

Definitely believable. I don't know if a 6% win here for Biden is indicative of a Biden win statewide though. Keep in mind that this is the fastest blue-trending seat in the state and that uniform swing isn't a thing. In all though, still a good sign.

Perdue is probably up by 20+ here, so ticket splitting is probably massive

Is this a joke? Why would Perdue be up 20 here?

Perdue's reelection depending on his massive suburban base in no joke. He beat an actual Karen (Handel) in several suburbs in the 2014 Republican primary, and has only gotten stronger since his incumbency began.

Ossoff is beating him in the past couple polls. If anything, Ossoff is a way better fit for GA-07 than Perdue. You guys are trolling. 2014 is no 2020.

Perdue's past performance in GA-07 is no joke, and he's only gotten more popular since then. His Gwinett GOTV gang is second to none, and he has close personal connections & fantastic constituent services to the growing Hispanic & Asian communities in Gwinnett. Ossoff is a young white guy who hasn't met as many voters as David. David's in general do really well among hispanics, as we've seen with David Valadao

K, I'm reporting you now. This is annoying.

You don't seem to be much for humor. Sometimes, I think it is good that we distract ourselves, to alleviate tension. It is not always a good thing to be serious.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Titanium Suburb King Perdue is probably up 40 here.

Burb Stompin' Purdue will make the Atlanta Suburban Counties redder than WOW!

Flip Fulton. His 300% margin in Alpharetta, Roswell, and Sandy Springs should be more than enough to carry the county.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Titanium Suburb King Perdue is probably up 40 here.

Burb Stompin' Purdue will make the Atlanta Suburban Counties redder than WOW!

This is a good start, but I don't think it accurately represents Ossoff's strength among the Demosaurs taht we're seeing in recent polling where he's canceling out Suburban King Perdue's margins in Gwinnett and Cobb. Meriwether County is Ossoff country, for example.