MS-Chism Strategies: Trump +11
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Author Topic: MS-Chism Strategies: Trump +11  (Read 1862 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: April 20, 2020, 06:08:35 PM »
Mississippi: Millsaps College/Chism Strategies, April 8-9, 508 LV

Trump 49
Biden 38
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2020, 06:58:08 PM »
Good poll for Biden, but I remember when Hillary was supposed to be competitive in SC.  She ended up losing to Trump there in a landslide.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #2 on: April 20, 2020, 07:07:38 PM »
Stop. Polling. Safe. States. And. Start. Polling. States. That. Actually. Matter.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #3 on: April 20, 2020, 07:12:30 PM »
Quote from: SnowLabrador on April 20, 2020, 07:07:38 PM
Stop. Polling. Safe. States. And. Start. Polling. States. That. Actually. Matter.

Yeah, instead of trying to learn the political and public health preferences of their home state, this small liberal arts school with 985 students should use their limited resources and fund another poll of Florida. Good idea.

Why do morons hate having more polling data?
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OneJ
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« Reply #4 on: April 20, 2020, 07:31:16 PM »
« Edited: April 20, 2020, 08:53:40 PM by OneJ »

Not a bad poll for Biden although we know most of these “undecideds” will come home as Trump’s floor is nowhere near that low.

What’ll be interesting is looking out for a few key counties (Madison, DeSoto, Lafayette, etc.)
and turnout overall.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: April 20, 2020, 08:14:05 PM »
One of the most predictable results ever. I take it they didn’t poll the Senate race?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #6 on: April 20, 2020, 08:17:25 PM »
I wonder if Democrats would win a county-level electoral college in Mississippi.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #7 on: April 20, 2020, 08:37:37 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on April 20, 2020, 08:14:05 PM
One of the most predictable results ever. I take it they didn’t poll the Senate race?

Apparently they did not.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #8 on: April 20, 2020, 09:01:41 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on April 20, 2020, 08:17:25 PM
I wonder if Democrats would win a county-level electoral college in Mississippi.

Probably not. In 2012, Obama won only 31/82 counties, with worse results since then. While Hinds would have a lot of E-votes, so would the other counties with significant populations, which are all Republican-leaning (Rankin, Madison, Forrest, De Soto, Lee, Lauderdale, Jackson, Harrison).
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: April 21, 2020, 01:39:08 AM »
Shows the less reliable MSN polls
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #10 on: April 21, 2020, 03:01:55 AM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on April 20, 2020, 06:58:08 PM
Good poll for Biden, but I remember when Hillary was supposed to be competitive in SC.  She ended up losing to Trump there in a landslide.


Polls in deep red sates usually underestimate republicans winning margins while polls in deep blue states usually underestimate winning margins of democratic candidates (see the Wahington poll).
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #11 on: April 21, 2020, 07:48:51 AM »
Quote from: Frenchrepublican on April 21, 2020, 03:01:55 AM
Quote from: libertpaulian on April 20, 2020, 06:58:08 PM
Good poll for Biden, but I remember when Hillary was supposed to be competitive in SC.  She ended up losing to Trump there in a landslide.


Polls in deep red sates usually underestimate republicans winning margins while polls in deep blue states usually underestimate winning margins of democratic candidates (see the Wahington poll).
Good point.
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AGA
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« Reply #12 on: April 21, 2020, 08:30:46 AM »
Democrats usually get 40%, Biden is at 38%, but there are some undecideds to push him up a bit. Nothing to see here.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #13 on: June 09, 2020, 09:20:18 PM »
New Poll: Mississippi President by Millsaps College/ Chism Strategies on 2020-04-09

Summary: D: 38%, R: 49%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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