Emerson: Biden and Sanders lead Trump
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  Emerson: Biden and Sanders lead Trump
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Author Topic: Emerson: Biden and Sanders lead Trump  (Read 1225 times)
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
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« on: March 20, 2020, 02:03:25 PM »

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/march-national-poll-70-of-americans-worried-about-catching-coronavirus

Biden- 53
Trump- 47

Sanders- 53
Trump- 47
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President Johnson
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« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2020, 02:17:38 PM »

Great, this throws their previous poll out of the RCP average. Further bump for Uncle Joe. The country is ready for him and a return to sanity with a stable and steady leader.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2020, 02:23:18 PM »

Why are they still polling Bernie?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3 on: March 20, 2020, 02:58:06 PM »

So despite positive marks on the coronavirus, he's still losing comfortably to Biden. This just confirms what we all know, and that's people have already decided what they want to do with him.
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Catalyst138
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« Reply #4 on: March 20, 2020, 03:28:50 PM »

Another good poll for Biden. I used to think Trump had this in the bag but it seems to not be the case, which is a good thing.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
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« Reply #5 on: March 20, 2020, 03:35:17 PM »

Polls at this stage, especially nationwide polls, are irrelevant.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #6 on: March 20, 2020, 04:05:16 PM »

Is a 6 point lead really that good?

I frankly think that’s concerning. Considering anything  3 or under is a Trump EC win
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #7 on: March 20, 2020, 04:06:27 PM »

Is this one of the polls where he’s rated relatively highly (for Trump) on COVID-19
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #8 on: March 20, 2020, 04:10:35 PM »

Is this one of the polls where he’s rated relatively highly (for Trump) on COVID-19

Yeah, approval is 49-41% for Trump here... interestingly (and yes, Emerson is not a good pollster but...) voters would trust Biden over Trump 51-49% to handle the virus. So this pandemic might not boost Trump's reelection bid despite good marks.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #9 on: March 20, 2020, 04:47:05 PM »

Is this one of the polls where he’s rated relatively highly (for Trump) on COVID-19

Yeah, approval is 49-41% for Trump here... interestingly (and yes, Emerson is not a good pollster but...) voters would trust Biden over Trump 51-49% to handle the virus. So this pandemic might not boost Trump's reelection bid despite good marks.

That is particularly bad (I this isn’t a fluke) then for him. He should be polling at his best right now
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Catalyst138
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« Reply #10 on: March 20, 2020, 06:22:29 PM »

It’s not "meaningless" when the incumbent president is trailing by 5+ points in pretty much every general election poll and the Generic Congressional Vote is just as Democratic as it was in 2018.

I used to think Trump had this in the bag but it seems to not be the case

Stunner.

I mean, before the virus and directly after the impeachment thing it wasn’t looking good for Democrats. “Had it in the bag” is an exaggeration; I didn’t think it was a lock for Trump but it just felt like his re-election was likely going to happen especially with the incumbency advantage and the possibility of a contested convention.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: March 20, 2020, 06:39:15 PM »

I doubt that Trump ends up with 47% of the vote, same with Biden (or Sanders, hypothetically) getting 53% overall. There will at least be some third party of course, which this poll does not take into account. However, a six point margin could be about right for a Biden win. I see no way for an electoral college-popular vote split with that margin, so it's a somewhat encouraging poll overall even in spite of the absurdly high approval of Trump's handling of this crisis which sort of contradicts the general election polling. I mean, what the hell is wrong with some Americans!?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: March 20, 2020, 08:11:51 PM »
« Edited: March 20, 2020, 08:18:21 PM by Cory Booker »

Internal D poll contradicts this, Biden leads well within margin of error of 3-4 pts
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #13 on: March 21, 2020, 07:44:37 PM »


Trump is polling at his approval rating 47%. The 'don't knows/not sures' don't seem to be in his corner here.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #14 on: March 22, 2020, 01:11:00 AM »
« Edited: March 22, 2020, 01:40:21 PM by DTC »

Biden's -5 result a lack of low confidince in Coronavirus; impossible to say old is the new young among rising Latina electorate. Open borders is a platform to be engaged upon, but upsets confederate war re-enactors in Wisconsin. Big turbulence among coalitions is a hardship for democratics, as tradeoffs between each ethnic group contributes to a lack of cohesion and famine. Biden has to thread the needle of Cory Booker mormons and WWC factory workers- only then can she preveil. Loretta Sanchez could win the rising Latina electorate, but struggles with cosmopolitan youngs who wear red flowers. Another VP option,to offset -4 deficit, can be Pramila Jayapal. She was described as a "Rising Star" by Nancy Pelosi, and can win the crucial Indian Bobby Jindal vote in swing states like Arizona and New Mexico. One issue with this VP is she was endorsed by Ed Murray (Washington Politician - 53rd mayor); he was accused of rape, sexual molestation, which could be swiftboated against Jayapal despite being a smear tactic. To offset this, Jayapal could run a campaign on not molesting people
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