High point NC: Sanders 31%, Bloomberg 18%, Biden 14%, Warren 11%, Klobuchar 3%
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  High point NC: Sanders 31%, Bloomberg 18%, Biden 14%, Warren 11%, Klobuchar 3%
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Author Topic: High point NC: Sanders 31%, Bloomberg 18%, Biden 14%, Warren 11%, Klobuchar 3%  (Read 952 times)
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« on: March 02, 2020, 10:48:10 AM »

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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: March 02, 2020, 10:49:10 AM »

Unlike some, I'm not going to praise a poll just because it posts results that I like or help promote my narrative. Obvious junk is obvious.
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The Free North
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« Reply #2 on: March 02, 2020, 10:49:11 AM »

Uhhh
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Zaybay
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« Reply #3 on: March 02, 2020, 10:49:29 AM »

Even without the 7 day polling period, this would still be garbage.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #4 on: March 02, 2020, 10:50:08 AM »

If only.
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #5 on: March 02, 2020, 10:50:42 AM »

538 has them as a A/B pollster
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #6 on: March 02, 2020, 10:51:25 AM »

So where was Mayor Pete in this?
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andjey
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« Reply #7 on: March 02, 2020, 10:52:06 AM »

I don't take this poll seriously
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: March 02, 2020, 10:55:33 AM »


If they're right, then we can all have a good laugh about how we immediately dismissed it. But currently, this poll is an obscene outlier.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #9 on: March 02, 2020, 11:02:38 AM »

(X) Doubt
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redjohn
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« Reply #10 on: March 02, 2020, 11:10:02 AM »

Nah, Biden very easily passes 15% in NC. I doubt Bloomberg is that high on election day
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roxas11
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« Reply #11 on: March 02, 2020, 11:10:16 AM »

Poll Conducted Feb 21-28


In other words the poll does not capture the Impact of Biden winning South Carolina or Pete dropping out and at this point Im sure that many of those Bloomberg voters will probably end up voting for Biden on election day


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Skye
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« Reply #12 on: March 02, 2020, 11:17:28 AM »


I mean 538 has Emerson as an A pollster.
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Sbane
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« Reply #13 on: March 02, 2020, 11:44:18 AM »

Did they poll black people?
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Zaybay
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« Reply #14 on: March 02, 2020, 11:52:22 AM »

Found the crosstabs/memo for this poll.
http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2020/03/70memoA.pdf
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #15 on: March 02, 2020, 12:11:33 PM »


8%.  Steyer was at 4%.
http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2020/03/hpu-poll-sanders-and-bloomberg-lead-in-nc-democratic-presidential-primary/
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #16 on: March 02, 2020, 01:13:35 PM »

Here are the LV #s:
Dems:
Sanders 28%
Bloomberg 20%
Biden 14%
Warren 12%
Buttigieg 8%
Steyer 4%
Klobuchar 4%
Booker 2%
Patrick 2%
Gabbard 1%
Yang, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, Bennet 0%

GOP:
Trump 91%
Walsh 4%
Weld 3%
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Vern
vern1988
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« Reply #17 on: March 02, 2020, 01:31:19 PM »

North Carolina will be the most interesting race tomorrow.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #18 on: March 02, 2020, 01:46:44 PM »

If NC, VA and TX vote for Bernie, even narrowly, he becomes unstoppable.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #19 on: March 02, 2020, 01:49:46 PM »

This is some really sh**ttiness right here.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #20 on: March 02, 2020, 01:55:42 PM »

Race is the single most important factor in any Southern poll or contest (primary or general), and this has a 49% white, 41% black electorate. Given that 2016 was 62-32 according to CNN (in reality, probably more like 55-40 given '16 D PRIM exit polls systematically underpolled black voters), the racial fundamentals are not overly favorable to Sanders. I haven't looked at other stats, but this overall seems unbelievable; probably overestimating Sanders support among whites. They don't seem to show candidate support by race in their crosstabs.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #21 on: March 02, 2020, 09:17:19 PM »

Here are the LV #s:
Dems:
Sanders 28%
Bloomberg 20%
Biden 14%
Warren 12%
Buttigieg 8%
Steyer 4%
Klobuchar 4%
Booker 2%
Patrick 2%
Gabbard 1%
Yang, Castro, Delaney, Williamson, Bennet 0%

GOP:
Trump 91%
Walsh 4%
Weld 3%


The LV number also includes the 25% of REG DEM and 29% of REG DEM that said that had already voted or planned on voting before 3/3/20, as well as the 8% of IND who said they had already voted and the 23% of IND who said they planned on voting early....

Well technically their LV screen might have ruled out some of "planning on voting early", but still with 800k Votes already cast in NC it gives as at least an idea of what might already be out there...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: March 02, 2020, 09:20:11 PM »

The Ukraine scandal isnt over. Voters in the primary, still remember what Biden did, and should he be nominee,  it will be played out in GE.
.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: March 02, 2020, 09:20:26 PM »

The Ukraine scandal isnt over. Voters in the primary, still remember what Biden did, and should he be nominee,  it will be played out in GE.
.
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