Predict the Burgenland state election on Sunday

[Tender Branson]

2015 results:

41.9% SPÖ
29.1% ÖVP
15.1% FPÖ
  6.4% Greens
  4.8% LBL
  2.3% NEOS
  0.4% CPÖ

Turnout: 76.0%

Current government: SPÖ+FPÖ

Current polling:

41-43% SPÖ
31-33% ÖVP
10-12% FPÖ
   7-9% Greens
   3-4% NEOS
   1-2% LBL



My prediction:

43.9% SPÖ (+2.0%)
33.3% ÖVP (+4.2%)
  8.5% Greens (+2.1%)
  7.9% FPÖ (-7.2%)
  4.1% NEOS (+1.8%)
  2.3% LBL (-2.5%)

Turnout: 74.4% (-1.6%)

Next government: SPÖ+ÖVP