Who else here is now confident that Elizabeth Warren will not be the nominee?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 03, 2024, 12:34:43 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Who else here is now confident that Elizabeth Warren will not be the nominee?
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2]
Poll
Question: Who else here is now confident that Elizabeth Warren will not be the nominee?
#1
I am, but at the same time I am still not fully sure who it will be
 
#2
I am, and at the same time I am confident it will be Biden
 
#3
I am, and at the same time I am confident it will be Sanders
 
#4
I am, and at the same time I am confident it will be Buttigieg
 
#5
I am not, I think she still has a chance
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 130

Author Topic: Who else here is now confident that Elizabeth Warren will not be the nominee?  (Read 1597 times)
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,046


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #25 on: January 15, 2020, 02:55:11 PM »


This is a totally perverse criticism and seems symptomatic of how irrational some of Sanders’ supporters are.  Why would you attack another candidate for deciding that they agree with you?? Isn’t convincing others to agree with you the entire goal of political debate?
He is a Republican who only supports Sanders because of a rabid hatred of an exaggerated caricature of the “establishment” that probably originated on Tumblr. Don’t expect rationality.
Logged
McNukes™ #NYCMMWasAHero
Nuke
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 854
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.23, S: 8.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #26 on: January 15, 2020, 03:16:13 PM »

The question has now shifted to "Sanders or Biden?" in my opinion. A collapse in Warren support may assist Buttigieg in Iowa, though.
Logged
Heebie Jeebie
jeb_arlo
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,181
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #27 on: January 15, 2020, 04:44:03 PM »

I think the real threat to Warren's campaign was her fading into obscurity.  If nothing else, this "controversy" puts her name back in the headlines and gets people to pay attention to her.  Plus, with Buttigieg losing steam, Sanders is the obvious next target for Warren.  If she gets lucky, all those wine-track Buttigieg voters will drift back into her camp and just maybe some progressive Sanders voters will drift in as well.  The key here is that she couldn't attack Sanders on policy grounds, because that would turn off the far lefties.  Making a play for feminist solidarity is probably the best move available to her at the moment.  The odds are still against her (as they have been since the start), but she's no worse off now than she was a week or two ago.

I remember you from PredictIt, do you still go there ?

Man, I haven't been there in months.  That comment section was a fun trash heap for a while, but it turned to a real dumpster fire real fast.
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #28 on: January 15, 2020, 05:08:38 PM »

I think the real threat to Warren's campaign was her fading into obscurity.  If nothing else, this "controversy" puts her name back in the headlines and gets people to pay attention to her.  Plus, with Buttigieg losing steam, Sanders is the obvious next target for Warren.  If she gets lucky, all those wine-track Buttigieg voters will drift back into her camp and just maybe some progressive Sanders voters will drift in as well.  The key here is that she couldn't attack Sanders on policy grounds, because that would turn off the far lefties.  Making a play for feminist solidarity is probably the best move available to her at the moment.  The odds are still against her (as they have been since the start), but she's no worse off now than she was a week or two ago.

I remember you from PredictIt, do you still go there ?

Man, I haven't been there in months.  That comment section was a fun trash heap for a while, but it turned to a real dumpster fire real fast.

Yeah, I only go there to brazenly troll even more than I do here.
Logged
Roblox
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,245


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #29 on: January 15, 2020, 06:16:08 PM »

It’s funny how this online fringe of Bernie supporters are acting like Warren broke the non-aggression pact when his campaign is the one that started floating that script a week ago.

Extremely mild criticism in a volunteer script regarding ones ability to bring in new voters is not equivalent to basically attempting to frame Sanders as a sexist.
Logged
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,169


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #30 on: January 15, 2020, 06:21:42 PM »

I am fairly confident she will not be the nominee (and have been for the last few weeks).

I view Biden as the slight favorite to win it all but I am not very confident he will be the nominee.  But I do think this will end up as a 2 person race between Biden and Bernie.  I think Biden/Bernie/Buttigieg might be the top 3 in Iowa and Warren could lag behind significantly.
Logged
Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,185
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #31 on: January 15, 2020, 07:15:30 PM »

Warren steals her friend's platform, lies about him to gain more support, discredits him in the debates, and refuses to shake his hand afterwards. I now fully support Sanders for the nomination because I want to give another middle finger to the elites and establishment. (Trump was the first middle finger)

That’s a very childish attitude. Being woke “anti-establishment” doesn’t make you different or special and won’t fix your problems.

You literally support Mitch McConnell.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,014
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #32 on: January 15, 2020, 07:33:56 PM »

I am. As the months went on I became more confident in that but I did not anticipate the hysteria in reaction to her debate performance last night. It's too rabid to be let go of so easily, especially before Iowa. This will be enough to end it now, sadly. And I say that as someone still undecided in this primary.
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #33 on: January 15, 2020, 07:37:15 PM »

I am. As the months went on I became more confident in that but I did not anticipate the hysteria in reaction to her debate performance last night. It's too rabid to be let go of so easily, especially before Iowa. This will be enough to end it now, sadly. And I say that as someone still undecided in this primary.

You were with Beto at first, question Biden's electability, but at the same time doubt Buttigieg's electability. Why is that?
Logged
Hermit For Peace
hermit
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,918


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #34 on: January 15, 2020, 07:41:39 PM »


None of the females actually had a chance this time around. But I applaud the fact that so many campaigned to become the Presidential nominee. That has set up an easier go of it for the females running in the next election.

It's going to take a special female to win this thing and I don't think she has come into the spotlight yet.

America needs time to get comfortable with the idea that a female can be strong and powerful and be President of this country. It is what it is.

Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,014
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #35 on: January 15, 2020, 07:43:48 PM »

I am. As the months went on I became more confident in that but I did not anticipate the hysteria in reaction to her debate performance last night. It's too rabid to be let go of so easily, especially before Iowa. This will be enough to end it now, sadly. And I say that as someone still undecided in this primary.

You were with Beto at first, question Biden's electability, but at the same time doubt Buttigieg's electability. Why is that?

Ah, someone paid attention.

There are many reasons why I am worried about all of the Democrats and soured on many of them, but it mostly has to do with Trump's unpredictability and the way the American electorate perceives things. I don't think any Democrat can transcend the faults they may have displayed in this primary. They can win in spite of them, but I don't know how likely that is. Luck and timing is going to be integral, and no candidate can control that.

As for Buttigieg in particular, his inability to appeal to black voters is disqualifying. Sure, against trump he would still win the vast majority, but without decent turnout to bolster what may still not be enough of a vast majority of them nationwide, there is no way he wins. He has also been too wishy-washy with how he presents himself on policy and with how he campaigns.
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,949
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #36 on: January 15, 2020, 07:47:06 PM »

I am. As the months went on I became more confident in that but I did not anticipate the hysteria in reaction to her debate performance last night. It's too rabid to be let go of so easily, especially before Iowa. This will be enough to end it now, sadly. And I say that as someone still undecided in this primary.

You were with Beto at first, question Biden's electability, but at the same time doubt Buttigieg's electability. Why is that?

Ah, someone paid attention.

There are many reasons why I am worried about all of the Democrats and soured on many of them, but it mostly has to do with Trump's unpredictability and the way the American electorate perceives things. I don't think any Democrat can transcend the faults they may have displayed in this primary. They can win in spite of them, but I don't know how likely that is. Luck and timing is going to be integral, and no candidate can control that.

As for Buttigieg in particular, his inability to appeal to black voters is disqualifying. Sure, against trump he would still win the vast majority, but without decent turnout to bolster what may still not be enough of a vast majority of them nationwide, there is no way he wins. He has also been too wishy-washy with how he presents himself on policy and with how he campaigns.

Good feedback. My take is that while his appeal with black voters will make the primaries an uphill battle, it really won't matter as much in the general. The Democratic machine will turn them out like they did for Hillary and Buttigieg can potentially make up for lack of reaching Obama levels by improving among other voters.
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,046


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #37 on: January 15, 2020, 08:07:51 PM »

Warren steals her friend's platform, lies about him to gain more support, discredits him in the debates, and refuses to shake his hand afterwards. I now fully support Sanders for the nomination because I want to give another middle finger to the elites and establishment. (Trump was the first middle finger)

That’s a very childish attitude. Being woke “anti-establishment” doesn’t make you different or special and won’t fix your problems.

You literally support Mitch McConnell.
Lol sure. While we are at it with hyperboles, you praise Stalin every night while facing Moscow.
Logged
Anti Democrat Democrat Club
SawxDem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,185
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #38 on: January 15, 2020, 09:37:00 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2020, 10:14:50 PM by CEO of Bernie Sanders »

Warren steals her friend's platform, lies about him to gain more support, discredits him in the debates, and refuses to shake his hand afterwards. I now fully support Sanders for the nomination because I want to give another middle finger to the elites and establishment. (Trump was the first middle finger)

That’s a very childish attitude. Being woke “anti-establishment” doesn’t make you different or special and won’t fix your problems.

You literally support Mitch McConnell.
Lol sure. While we are at it with hyperboles, you praise Stalin every night while facing Moscow.

The difference is, there isn't hard evidence of me praising Stalin every night. There's a pledge of you literally pledging to back McConnell in 2022.

It's funny how the forum goes after MacArthur and Monroe, but at least they're Democrats. They back Democrats. They disagree with people like me, but at the end of the day, we're all on the same side. MacArthur and Monroe will work their asses off, no matter how begrudgingly, to make sure we will win. You, Hagrid, and MissScarlett are literal Republicans trying to determine the party.
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,046


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #39 on: January 15, 2020, 11:05:19 PM »

Warren steals her friend's platform, lies about him to gain more support, discredits him in the debates, and refuses to shake his hand afterwards. I now fully support Sanders for the nomination because I want to give another middle finger to the elites and establishment. (Trump was the first middle finger)

That’s a very childish attitude. Being woke “anti-establishment” doesn’t make you different or special and won’t fix your problems.

You literally support Mitch McConnell.
Lol sure. While we are at it with hyperboles, you praise Stalin every night while facing Moscow.

The difference is, there isn't hard evidence of me praising Stalin every night. There's a pledge of you literally pledging to back McConnell in 2022.

It's funny how the forum goes after MacArthur and Monroe, but at least they're Democrats. They back Democrats. They disagree with people like me, but at the end of the day, we're all on the same side. MacArthur and Monroe will work their asses off, no matter how begrudgingly, to make sure we will win. You, Hagrid, and MissScarlett are literal Republicans trying to determine the party.
Wow you caught me, I’m a secret Republican because I once said I would vote for a GOP senator if Bernie acts like a dictator.

I don’t support McConnell so keep your false narratives in your head.

Logged
morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,023
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #40 on: January 16, 2020, 02:03:56 AM »

I always was

And I have a feeling most people will be glad in the end because hundreds of thousand of people have said that she would have been the only nominee that would have caused them to vote trump
Logged
Diabolical Materialism
SlamDunk
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,654


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #41 on: January 16, 2020, 08:51:14 AM »
« Edited: January 16, 2020, 10:36:18 AM by SlamDunk »

Warren steals her friend's platform, lies about him to gain more support, discredits him in the debates, and refuses to shake his hand afterwards. I now fully support Sanders for the nomination because I want to give another middle finger to the elites and establishment. (Trump was the first middle finger)

That’s a very childish attitude. Being woke “anti-establishment” doesn’t make you different or special and won’t fix your problems.

You literally support Mitch McConnell.
Lol sure. While we are at it with hyperboles, you praise Stalin every night while facing Moscow.
And that's a good thing
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,031
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #42 on: January 16, 2020, 09:34:44 AM »

As I stated before, the voters are nervous about putting 2 women running the country in Pelosi and Warren at the top. If Hoyer was Speaker, which he should be, it would be easier for Warren or Harris or Hillary or Klobuchar to be Prez
Logged
OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,833
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #43 on: January 16, 2020, 10:35:28 AM »

I'm more confident than not she won't be the nominee, but if the results of the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll are accurate then Warren might've helped herself with the debate performance.
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,046


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #44 on: January 16, 2020, 11:05:36 AM »

Warren steals her friend's platform, lies about him to gain more support, discredits him in the debates, and refuses to shake his hand afterwards. I now fully support Sanders for the nomination because I want to give another middle finger to the elites and establishment. (Trump was the first middle finger)

That’s a very childish attitude. Being woke “anti-establishment” doesn’t make you different or special and won’t fix your problems.

You literally support Mitch McConnell.
Lol sure. While we are at it with hyperboles, you praise Stalin every night while facing Moscow.
And that's a good thing
NO! ITS SUPPOSED TO BE LENIN AND WHILE FACING ST PETERSBURG, YOU DIRTY INFIDEL FAKE SOCIALIST!
/s
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,102
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #45 on: January 16, 2020, 12:09:50 PM »

She hasn't had a good chance of being the nominee since her peak in October, but I actually think this slimy attack will help her a little bit. Too many Democratic voters trust the media and celebrate identity politics, and there's already a preconceived notion of Sanders being the divisive one, so even though she's the one that started this mess, people won't realize it and will still think Sanders is partially to blame.
Logged
AN63093
63093
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 871


Political Matrix
E: 0.06, S: 2.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #46 on: January 16, 2020, 12:21:09 PM »

I think the real threat to Warren's campaign was her fading into obscurity.  If nothing else, this "controversy" puts her name back in the headlines and gets people to pay attention to her.  Plus, with Buttigieg losing steam, Sanders is the obvious next target for Warren.  If she gets lucky, all those wine-track Buttigieg voters will drift back into her camp and just maybe some progressive Sanders voters will drift in as well.  The key here is that she couldn't attack Sanders on policy grounds, because that would turn off the far lefties.  Making a play for feminist solidarity is probably the best move available to her at the moment.  The odds are still against her (as they have been since the start), but she's no worse off now than she was a week or two ago.

This is a good point.  Sanders has a pretty loyal following and his core base- that was in his camp since the beginning- were never really in Warren's.  People voting mostly on economic issues also were (by and large) not in Warren's camp either.

Warren's base was the group of voters that went from Harris > Warren > Buttigieg.  She had to do something to win back some of those voters before they settled for, say, Biden.. which is maybe where they end up in a Biden/Sanders 1-on-1.  It was a gambit- probably a losing one, but I understand why she did it, since it was the only card she had left to play.

What confuses me is why she went after Sanders as opposed to Biden.. maybe she viewed Sanders' position as more vulnerable than Biden's.. I dunno.  If some Harris>Warren>Buttigieg voters drifted to Sanders, and some drifted to Biden, maybe she saw the ones drifting to Sanders as the easier to pick up. 
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.268 seconds with 15 queries.