The case of Wisconsin
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  The case of Wisconsin
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American2020
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« on: December 19, 2019, 04:57:58 PM »

Quote
Reviewing 2016 to 2019 results in the Badger State
As 2019 closes out, it may be worth looking to one of the states that is expected to play an outsized role in next year’s presidential election: Wisconsin.

The Badger State was truly decisive in 2016: While it’s easy to lump it in with Michigan and Pennsylvania as the three states that decided the election, Donald Trump’s margin in Wisconsin was the largest of the three nail-biters — meaning that Trump could have won even without Michigan or Pennsylvania so long as he won Wisconsin. Some recent polls showing the state effectively a coin flip give Democrats heartburn — and represent a counterpoint to those arguing that Trump is an underdog next year.

Of all the battleground states on the radar, Wisconsin perhaps best sums up how President Trump was able to pull off his historic upset. Wisconsin, part of the Democrats’ vaunted so-called “Blue Wall,” voted for President Obama twice by relatively comfortable margins. Overconfident in her chances there in 2016, Hillary Clinton’s campaign seemed to take the state for granted, as she held zero general election rallies in the state. The Democrats’ complacency fed into Trump’s unexpected resilience in the state and allowed him to carry its 10 electoral votes with just a 47% plurality.

http://crystalball.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/wisconsin-2020s-ground-zero/

What's the best strategy for Dems to flip Wisconsin in 2020 ?
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #1 on: December 19, 2019, 04:59:06 PM »

Buy a live insurance : Arizona
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: December 19, 2019, 05:04:34 PM »

The difference between PA and WI was less than 0.1%, so I'm not sure that's the best argument for grouping WI separately from PA. Either way, the best strategy here is pretty similar in any state. Don't take the state for granted, have a strong ground game, get good turnout in the cities, and don't just run against Trump, run on proposals that people can get behind.

While I think it's a Toss-Up that Democrats have to watch out for, it's not hard to see how Democrats could win it. High turnout in Milwaukee/Madison, peel off some voters in WOW, and try to stop some of the bleeding in Driftless. It's not like Democrats need a royal flush to win here.
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redeagleofficial
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« Reply #3 on: December 19, 2019, 06:50:45 PM »

I don't think WI will go blue this time around but I think dems could win it if they have a really good night.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #4 on: December 19, 2019, 07:48:55 PM »

Do what Tony Evers did, but better.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #5 on: December 19, 2019, 10:24:21 PM »

Nominate Biden or Sanders and press on the issue of trade/tariffs when campaigning in the state.

Optional: have Tammy Baldwin as VP choice
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #6 on: December 19, 2019, 10:48:29 PM »

To not nominate Elizabeth Warren.
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Arizona Iced Tea
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« Reply #7 on: December 19, 2019, 10:49:02 PM »

Focus on Madison, as Milwaukee turnout is really depressing
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538Electoral
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« Reply #8 on: December 20, 2019, 07:04:32 AM »

Simple, They have to endorse policies that appeal to the white working class. If they don't, They're going to lose Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania again.
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BRTD
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« Reply #9 on: December 20, 2019, 11:51:03 AM »

Actually campaign in the state.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #10 on: December 20, 2019, 12:49:24 PM »

Play an effective beat-the-cheat strategy.

I don't know how the electioneering of the Wisconsin Democratic Party goes, but 2016 showed that Democrats must protect electoral databases if Democrats are to win. Get out the vote -- get out the vote -- get out the vote! 
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: December 20, 2019, 01:12:03 PM »

Dems dont have have the hold the 278 blue wall, they have to put together a 270 strategy and AZ, FL, GA and TX, Sunbelt is a backup strategy for losing the midwest. Hilary could of used this strategy, but the media was focused on Benghazi. But, its implemented, by Bernie and Biden

MI is much more likelier to stay red in such scenario,  due to John James beating Gary Peters
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #12 on: December 20, 2019, 02:43:31 PM »
« Edited: December 20, 2019, 02:48:37 PM by MT Treasurer »

Democrats can win WI, but they certainly shouldn’t count it being the tipping point state which puts them over the top, i.e. they definitely need to expand the playing field (by contesting AZ/GA/NC/FL) similar to how Republicans contested WI/PA which were more winnable than the two states generally considered to be the likely tipping point states for Republicans (VA/CO).
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