Monmouth: Biden 26, Sanders 21, Warren 17
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Monmouth: Biden 26, Sanders 21, Warren 17
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Author Topic: Monmouth: Biden 26, Sanders 21, Warren 17  (Read 1181 times)
GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #25 on: December 10, 2019, 02:11:44 PM »

Instead of getting 100 extra voters, they wasted their time on troll questions:

Who was a better president, George Washington or Donald Trump?
Washington 71%
Trump 15%

Who was a better president, George Washington or Barack Obama?
Washington 58%
Obama 33%
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Skye
yeah_93
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« Reply #26 on: December 10, 2019, 02:23:08 PM »

they wasted their time on troll questions:

Ah, the PPP way, I see.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #27 on: December 10, 2019, 02:27:20 PM »

All the candidates are underwater on favorability...

fav/unfav % among all voters:
Buttigieg 34/35% for -1%
Yang 25/28% for -3%
Trump 46/52% for -6%
Biden 43/50% for -7%
Warren 40/50% for -10%
Sanders 41/54% for -13%
Bloomberg 26/54% for -28%

Among Independents, Pete is the only candidate with positive favorables.
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bilaps
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« Reply #28 on: December 10, 2019, 02:52:10 PM »

Whichever of Sanders or Warren is doing worst after the early states needs to drop out and endorse the other. I know their voters don't line up perfectly, but Sanders/Warren together add up to 38. It's probably the only way to take Biden down.
This is not going to happen.

Anyway the top three are basically tied with white voters (Warren 22, Biden 21, Sanders 20)

I wish we got non-white groups separated. They grouped every other non-white group together and Biden was at 32 while Sanders at 21 and Warren at 11.

I bet Biden is past 50 with black voters. This primary is Likely Biden.

Its very much a tossup race. Not only is the national vote rather close(this poll has Biden leading 2nd place Sanders by only 5) but the early states, besides, SC, are not sure wins for Biden. Doing poorly in IA, NH, and NV, along with consolidation, would likely lead to a Sanders or Warren victory.

Biden has an advantage right now, but its rather small, and it can easily fall apart with a couple losses.

I would like this to be true but I'm not so sure. At this point Biden looks like he's cruising in the south and he does well enough among early states, he's ahead in NV for example and polling better in NH than I would like. Also I think he's strong in FL, VA and in midwest. It's more than enough for nomination. Best bet against Biden is that he really fails in IA and NH. Buttigieg or Bernie wins IA, than Bernie wins NH, he finaly starts to crack his ceiling, picks up Warren voters and he goes with the momentum in NV and CA where he's strong among Latino voters and Biden is damaged enough by these defeats that his support goes to some other candidates like Pete or Bloomberg or who knows.

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